Match Info

Copa Paraguay - 1/8-finals

Date: 1 October 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Osvaldo Dominguez Dibb (Asunción)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Paraguay	Futbol Paraguayo, Tigo Sports
Usa	Fanatiz


	Olimpia Asuncion		Sportivo Luqueño

	1	X	2
	1.35	4.60	6.50
	1.39	4.25	6.1	Watch
	1.52	4.2	5.6
	1.36	4.57	7.5	Watch
	1.5	3.75	5.05
	1.53	4.03	5.95	Watch
	1.4	4.2	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 (1.44)	4.23 ↑ (4)	6.1 ↑ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpia Asuncion
63.5%

Draw
21.6%

Sportivo Luqueño
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

22.5%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5%

21.1%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpia Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Sportivo Luqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Asuncion than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Luqueño than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Olimpia Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Olimpia will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 0 - 1, Ruiz O. ⚽,
68', 1 - 1, Gamarra M. ⚽,
Penalties (2 - 4)
1, Avalos G. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Bogado G. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Sandoval H. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Comas L. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Alfaro J. F. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Perez M. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Delmas E. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Muro T. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olimpia won 5.

Olimpia is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Sportivo Luqueño is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Sportivo Luqueño could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The betting markets point to Olimpia as the clear and undisputed favorite.

Our forecast points to a victory for Olimpia in today's match, at odds of 1.45.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Olimpia has recorded 16 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 41:19 (averaging 2.1:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Olimpia against this opponent, the record stands at 10 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 26:7 goals (averaging 2.6:0.7 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olimpia Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
28.09.26	Libertad Asuncion - Olimpia Asuncion	0:1 ✺
20.09.26	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Olimpia Asuncion	0:2 ✺
13.09.26	Olimpia Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	3:0 ✺
06.09.26	Sportivo Trinidense - Olimpia Asuncion	1:2 ✺
02.09.26	Olimpia Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWWT
- Sportivo Luqueño
Paraguayan Primera Division
25.09.26	Sportivo Luqueño - Guaraní Asuncion	0:1 ✺
20.09.26	Sportivo Luqueño - Deportivo Recoleta	1:0 ✺
13.09.26	Olimpia Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	3:0 ✺
06.09.26	Sportivo Luqueño - Sportivo Ameliano	1:2 ✺
01.09.26	2 de Mayo - Sportivo Luqueño	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
13.09.26	Olimpia Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	3:0
23.05.26	Sportivo Luqueño - Olimpia Asuncion	1:2
17.03.26	Olimpia Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	1:0
21.11.25	Sportivo Luqueño - Olimpia Asuncion	2:4
30.08.25	Olimpia Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	2:0
19.04.25	Olimpia Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	3:1
09.02.25	Sportivo Luqueño - Olimpia Asuncion	0:1

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