The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cerro Porteño 62.5%
Draw 23.5%
River Plate Montevideo 14%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
66.2%
21%
12.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
77.3%
18%
10.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerro Porteño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
River Plate Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (+14.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cerro Porteño, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Cerro Porteño - River Plate Montevideo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion to Copa Libertadores and 5).
Cerro Porteño in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches River Plate is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Cerro Porteño could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently River Plate have a series of guest games.
In this match Cerro Porteño is the unquestionable favorite.
In this match Cerro Porteño is absolute favorite.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Cerro Porteño won 9 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 29-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Cerro Porteño won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14-2.