Match Info

Date: 31 August 2020, Monday


	Sportivo Luqueño		San Lorenzo

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	3.4	Watch
	2.15	3.25	3.1
	2.2	3.1	3.1
	2.21	3.25	3
	2.31	3.21	3.25
	2.15	3.4	3.1	Watch
	2.34	3.64	3.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.02)	3.28 ↓ (3.32)	3.18 ↓ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 0.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo Luqueño
42.2%

Draw
28.5%

San Lorenzo
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

28.1%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3%

21.5%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Luqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

San Lorenzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Luqueño than the current prediction. (+18.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sportivo Luqueño, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Lorenzo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.2%	9.5%	14.3%

Sportivo Luqueño - San Lorenzo Predictions

Users Predictions: 42 users predict this event. Sportivo Luqueño will win (votes: 32 - 76.2%). San Lorenzo will win (votes: 6 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 9.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sportivo Luqueño: 63.3% – 89.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 and 12).

Recent matches Sportivo Luqueño is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

San Lorenzo is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Sportivo Luqueño will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Sportivo Luqueño won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Sportivo Luqueño won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Luqueño
Paraguayan Primera Division
27.08.20	Libertad Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	0:0 ✺
23.08.20	Sportivo Luqueño - Club General Díaz	4:1 ✺
18.08.20	Guaireña - Sportivo Luqueño	0:1 ✺
14.08.20	Sportivo Luqueño - Sol de América	2:2 ✺
07.08.20	Sportivo Luqueño - Cerro Porteño	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 TWWTL
- San Lorenzo
Paraguayan Primera Division
25.08.20	San Lorenzo - River Plate Montevideo	0:0 ✺
21.08.20	Nacional Asuncion - San Lorenzo	2:0 ✺
17.08.20	San Lorenzo - Olimpia Asuncion	2:2 ✺
13.08.20	12 de Octubre - San Lorenzo	1:0 ✺
09.08.20	San Lorenzo - Guaraní Asuncion	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
24.02.20	San Lorenzo - Sportivo Luqueño	0:0
07.10.19	San Lorenzo - Sportivo Luqueño	2:0
22.07.19	Sportivo Luqueño - San Lorenzo	1:3
12.04.19	San Lorenzo - Sportivo Luqueño	0:3
11.02.19	Sportivo Luqueño - San Lorenzo	0:3
30.11.15	San Lorenzo - Sportivo Luqueño	2:2
04.09.15	Sportivo Luqueño - San Lorenzo	2:1

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