Match Info

Date: 30 November 2021, Tuesday


	River Plate Montevideo		Villa Española

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.2	7	Watch
	1.33	5	7.5	Watch
	1.42	3.95	6
	1.41	4.4	6.2
	1.26	6.19	10.09
	1.36	4.75	6.5
	1.42	4.6	6.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.5)	4.73 ↑ (4.33)	7.15 ↑ (5.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

River Plate Montevideo
67.4%

Draw
19.6%

Villa Española
13%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

21.6%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

13.8%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

River Plate Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Villa Española has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (-27.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with River Plate Montevideo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa Española than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Villa Española could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

River Plate Montevideo - Villa Española Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 16).

Recent matches River Plate is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Villa Española is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match River Plate is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches River Plate won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams River Plate won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- River Plate Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
22.11.21	Montevideo City Torque - River Plate Montevideo	1:1 ✺
06.11.21	Rentistas - River Plate Montevideo	1:0 ✺
03.11.21	River Plate Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers	0:1 ✺
30.10.21	Boston River - River Plate Montevideo	1:2 ✺
25.10.21	River Plate Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TLLWT
- CSD Villa Española
Uruguayan Primera Division
19.11.21	Villa Española - Liverpool Montevideo	0:3 ✺
06.11.21	Villa Española - Nacional Montevideo	1:2 ✺
02.11.21	Deportivo Maldonado - Villa Española	0:1 ✺
30.10.21	Montevideo City Torque - Villa Española	5:0 ✺
23.10.21	Villa Española - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
15.08.21	Villa Española - River Plate Montevideo	1:1
26.11.16	River Plate Montevideo - Villa Española	2:1

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