Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 3

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Complejo Rentistas (Montevideo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Rentistas		River Plate Montevideo

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.95	3
	2.22	2.98	3.05
	2.35	3.1	3.3
	2.29	3.15	3.17	Watch
	2.25	2.88	3.1
	2.26	2.96	3.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.36)	3 ↓ (3.06)	3.12 ↑ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rentistas
40.4%

Draw
30.4%

River Plate Montevideo
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rentistas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

River Plate Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rentistas than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Rentistas - River Plate Montevideo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Perez F. ⚽,
27', 0 - 2, Lopez I. ⚽,
34', 1 - 2, Bittencourt D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rentistas won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Rentistas could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Rentistas won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Rentistas won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 1.3:1.2).

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Rentistas	21	9	6	6	26:23	3	33
5	River Plate	21	8	6	7	31:26	5	30

Last Results with these Odds

River Plate Montevideo - the odds 3.06 are the expected chance of winning is 30.33%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Rentistas
Uruguayan Segunda Division
17.05.26	Rentistas - Miramar Misiones	1:0 ✺
10.05.26	Tacuarembó - Rentistas	1:1 ✺
29.04.26	Rentistas - Miramar Misiones	1:1 ✺
20.04.26	Rentistas - Oriental de La Paz	1:2 ✺
10.04.26	Paysandú - Rentistas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WTTLW
- River Plate Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
16.05.26	River Plate Montevideo - Paysandú	1:0 ✺
10.05.26	Miramar Misiones - River Plate Montevideo	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	River Plate Montevideo - Paysandú	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	Colón Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo	4:2 ✺
06.04.26	Miramar Misiones - River Plate Montevideo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
23.03.26	River Plate Montevideo - Rentistas	1:1
Uruguayan Primera Division
08.10.22	Rentistas - River Plate Montevideo	0:5
13.05.22	River Plate Montevideo - Rentistas	1:0
06.11.21	Rentistas - River Plate Montevideo	1:0
17.07.21	River Plate Montevideo - Rentistas	0:0
17.02.21	River Plate Montevideo - Rentistas	1:1
16.09.20	Rentistas - River Plate Montevideo	2:1

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