Match Info

Date: 23 October 2021, Saturday


	Villa Española		Peñarol de Montevideo

	1	X	2
	11	4.75	1.28	Watch
	8.75	4.5	1.34	Watch
	9	4.75	1.27
	9.4	4.9	1.27
	10.66	5.28	1.32
	11	4.6	1.27
	10	5.2	1.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.97 ↑ (9.53)	4.85 ↑ (4.77)	1.29 ↓ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Network on TV: GolTV (Spanish)

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Current Win Probability

Villa Española
9.3%

Draw
19.1%

Peñarol de Montevideo
71.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

9.8%

19.5%

70.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

8.7%

17.4%

79.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villa Española has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Peñarol de Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa Española than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Peñarol de Montevideo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Villa Española - Peñarol de Montevideo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Play Offs)).

Villa Española has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Peñarol is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Peñarol is certain favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Villa Española won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSD Villa Española
Uruguayan Primera Division
20.10.21	Rentistas - Villa Española	3:1 ✺
17.10.21	Villa Española - Montevideo Wanderers	2:2 ✺
10.10.21	Boston River - Villa Española	1:0 ✺
02.10.21	Villa Española - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:2 ✺
24.09.21	Plaza Colonia - Villa Española	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LTLLL
- Peñarol de Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
20.10.21	Peñarol de Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque	3:1 ✺
17.10.21	Deportivo Maldonado - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:0 ✺
09.10.21	Rentistas - Peñarol de Montevideo	0:1 ✺
03.10.21	Peñarol de Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers	3:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
30.09.21	Athletico Paranaense - Peñarol de Montevideo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
26.06.21	Peñarol de Montevideo - Villa Española	1:1
15.10.16	Peñarol de Montevideo - Villa Española	2:1

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