Match Info

Date: 15 October 2020, Thursday


	RoPS		Lahti

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.75	1.72	Watch
	4.25	3.6	1.7
	4.5	3.85	1.72	Watch
	4.3	3.7	1.73
	4.59	3.94	1.79
	4.4	3.7	1.75
	4.5	3.92	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.47 ↑ (4.06)	3.78 ↑ (3.68)	1.74 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

RoPS
21%

Draw
24.9%

Lahti
54.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.1%

25.5%

51.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

16.8%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RoPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Lahti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RoPS than the current prediction. (+14.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for RoPS, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lahti than the current prediction. (-20.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lahti, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.5%	10.8%	74.7%

RoPS - Lahti Predictions

Users Predictions: 83 users predict this event. RoPS will win (votes: 12 - 14.5%). Lahti will win (votes: 62 - 74.7%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 10.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lahti: 65.3% – 84.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

RoPS is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Lahti is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

RoPS could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Lahti is a favorite.

Last 23 head-to-head matches RoPS won 11 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 33-25.

Including matches at home between the teams RoPS won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RoPS
Finnish Veikkausliiga
28.09.20	HJK - RoPS	4:0 ✺
23.09.20	Haka - RoPS	0:2 ✺
20.09.20	RoPS - KuPS Kuopio	0:2 ✺
12.09.20	RoPS - Honka	1:3 ✺
09.09.20	KuPS Kuopio - RoPS	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWLLL
- FC Lahti
Finnish Veikkausliiga
02.10.20	Lahti - IFK Mariehamn	3:1 ✺
28.09.20	Inter Turku - Lahti	3:0 ✺
23.09.20	SJK - Lahti	0:1 ✺
17.09.20	Lahti - TPS	1:1 ✺
14.09.20	Lahti - KuPS Kuopio	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
14.08.20	Lahti - RoPS	3:0
Finnish Cup
15.02.20	Lahti - RoPS	2:1
Finnish Veikkausliiga
14.09.19	Lahti - RoPS	3:0
25.08.19	RoPS - Lahti	3:0
18.06.19	Lahti - RoPS	1:2
20.08.18	Lahti - RoPS	1:2
18.05.18	Lahti - RoPS	0:0

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