Match Info

Veikkausliiga - Round 20

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Lahden Stadion (Lahti) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Finland	17:00	Ruutu+
Usa	10:00	SportsEngine Play
International	14:00	OneFootball TV


	Lahti		KuPS Kuopio

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.40	2.50	Watch
	2.75	3.40	2.40
	2.63	3.35	2.55	Watch
	2.85	3.51	2.54
	2.77	3.48	2.48	Watch
	2.65	3.45	2.6
	2.59	3.46	2.54	Watch
	2.55	3.3	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.52)	3.42 ↓ (3.48)	2.51 ↓ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lahti
35.2%

Draw
27.4%

KuPS Kuopio
37.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.9%

26.8%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

26.7%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lahti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

KuPS Kuopio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lahti than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KuPS Kuopio than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Lahti - KuPS Kuopio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Hakala A. (G) 27. Yapi R. 5. Gianini Dantas N. (C) 4. Muller J. 3. Sans R. 8. Montiel C. 18. Cassubie Y. 10. Koskinen O. 77. Sarr M. 19. Neemias 11. Martim Augusto	1. Kreidl J. (C) 6. Savolainen S. 33. Hamalainen T. 23. Lotjonen A. 25. Antwi C. 10. Gasc V. R. 3. Heiskanen S. 21. Luyeye-Lutumba J. 16. Jyry T. 24. Armah B. 20. Parzyszek P.
Substitutes
14. Andersson E. 17. Belabid A. 7. Heikkinen D. 25. Inkinen T. 28. Kabashi A. 9. Lindholm A. 31. Maukonen O. (G) 20. Ojanen J. 6. Vehkonen V.	9. Engvall G. 17. Heinonen A. 19. Kabuye C. 28. Magassa B. 11. Moreno Ciorciari J. J. 8. Pennanen P. 29. Puukko A. 12. Riihimaki H. (G) 22. Touray S.
Coaches
Pereira G.	Nuutinen M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
2', 1 - 0, Koskinen O. ⚽, Sarr M. (A),
11', 1 - 1, Jyry T. ⚽, Armah B. (A),
17', 1 - 2, Luyeye-Lutumba J. ⚽, Armah B. (A),
45+1', Pereira G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Muller J. 🟨,
66', Antwi C. ↓, Engvall G. ↑,
66', Armah B. ↓, Touray S. ↑,
69', Koskinen O. ↓, Heikkinen D. ↑,
69', Martim Augusto ↓, Belabid A. ↑,
69', Muller J. ↓, Vehkonen V. ↑,
70', Parzyszek P. ↓, Moreno Ciorciari J. J. ↑,
70', Jyry T. ↓, Pennanen P. ↑,
72', Gasc V. R. 🟨,
80', Sans R. 🟨,
81', Yapi R. ↓, Ojanen J. ↑,
81', Neemias ↓, Lindholm A. ↑,
87', Heiskanen S. ↓, Magassa B. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )).

KuPS is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lahti won 0.

Lahti is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

KuPS's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Lahti may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in KuPS: Pasanen S. (Knee Injury) Voutilainen J. (Surgery)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lahti won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 17:42. (average 0.9:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Lahti won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 11:19. (average 1.1:1.9).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	KuPS	28	14	9	5	43:26	17	51

Outrights of Finnish Veikkausliiga for now

KuPS: 19.49%

Last Results with these Odds

KuPS Kuopio - the odds 2.57 are the expected chance of winning is 36.3%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Lahti
Finnish Veikkausliiga
09.08.26	Inter Turku - Lahti	0:0 ✺
01.08.26	Lahti - FF Jaro	2:0 ✺
26.07.26	Ilves - Lahti	1:0 ✺
20.07.26	IFK Mariehamn - Lahti	0:2 ✺
11.07.26	Lahti - HJK	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 TWLWW
- KuPS Kuopio
UEFA Europa League
13.08.26	Universitatea Craiova - KuPS Kuopio	2:1 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
09.08.26	KuPS Kuopio - TPS	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.08.26	KuPS Kuopio - Universitatea Craiova	1:1 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
01.08.26	Gnistan - KuPS Kuopio	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
28.07.26	KuPS Kuopio - Sabah	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
23.05.26	KuPS Kuopio - Lahti	2:1
21.07.24	KuPS Kuopio - Lahti	1:0
27.04.24	Lahti - KuPS Kuopio	0:1
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
16.03.24	Lahti - KuPS Kuopio	0:2
Finnish Veikkausliiga
01.07.23	Lahti - KuPS Kuopio	3:4
20.05.23	KuPS Kuopio - Lahti	2:0
Finnish Cup
31.08.22	Lahti - KuPS Kuopio	0:1

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