Match Info

Veikkausliiga - Relegation Group - Round 26

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday

Location: OmaSp Stadion (Seinajoki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
World	OneFootball TV


	SJK		Lahti

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.3	2.45	Watch
	2.60	3.50	2.50
	2.62	3.3	2.52	Watch
	2.74	3.54	2.62
	2.64	3.49	2.59	Watch
	2.65	3.4	2.55
	2.52	3.54	2.53	Watch
	2.49	3.35	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.58)	3.43 ↓ (3.53)	2.53 ↓ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SJK
35.9%

Draw
27.2%

Lahti
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

26.8%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

27.2%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SJK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Lahti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SJK than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lahti than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	60%	40%

SJK - Lahti Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Lahti will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Viitala J. (G) 6. Yussif S. 2. Costantini F. 28. Nwanege K. 48. Traore A. 5. Vaisto O. 23. Wilson A. 7. Kelwin 15. Mommo E. (C) 8. Bostrom A. 9. Streng J.	12. Hakala A. (G) 7. Heikkinen D. 5. Gianini Dantas N. (C) 6. Vehkonen V. 25. Inkinen T. 8. Montiel C. 18. Cassubie Y. 10. Koskinen O. 77. Sarr M. 9. Lindholm A. 20. Ojanen J.
Substitutes
43. Bagayogo S. 51. Cisse A. 19. Mastokangas E. 31. Onuoha E. 1. Paunio R. (G) 49. Udom E. 22. Vesterbacka L.	14. Andersson E. 17. Belabid A. 28. Kabashi A. 11. Martim Augusto 31. Maukonen O. (G) 4. Muller J. 41. Paalanen A.
Coaches
Wiss J.	Pereira G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Wilson A. ⚽, Kelwin (A),
34', Streng J. 🟨,
40', Nwanege K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Vehkonen V. ↓, Muller J. ↑,
62', Lindholm A. ↓, Belabid A. ↑,
62', Ojanen J. ↓, Martim Augusto ↑,
69', Koskinen O. ↓, Andersson E. ↑,
69', Kelwin ↓, Mastokangas E. ↑,
79', Gianini Dantas N. 🟨,
80', Wilson A. ↓, Vesterbacka L. ↑,
86', Inkinen T. ↓, Kabashi A. ↑,
87', Streng J. ↓, Cisse A. ↑,
87', Yussif S. ↓, Bagayogo S. ↑,
89', Sarr M. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SJK won 2.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Confirmed absences for SJK: Bjorkskog A. (Knee Injury) Pires K. (Yellow Cards).

Confirmed absences for Lahti: Yapi R. (Red Card).

Doubtful / questionable for SJK: Yussif S. (Inactive).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, SJK has recorded 6 wins, 8 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 27:22 (averaging 1.4:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for SJK against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, with 14:14 goals (averaging 1.2:1.2 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

SJK - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 36.62%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SJK Seinajoki
Finnish Veikkausliiga
18.09.26	SJK - IFK Mariehamn	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	FF Jaro - SJK	1:1 ✺
08.09.26	TPS - SJK	0:0 ✺
31.08.26	Oulu - SJK	0:0 ✺
21.08.26	SJK - Lahti	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WTTTT
- FC Lahti
Finnish Veikkausliiga
18.09.26	Lahti - FF Jaro	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Ilves - Lahti	3:1 ✺
08.09.26	Lahti - IFK Mariehamn	2:1 ✺
31.08.26	VPS Vaasa - Lahti	0:1 ✺
21.08.26	SJK - Lahti	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
21.08.26	SJK - Lahti	0:0
13.06.26	Lahti - SJK	2:3
27.07.24	SJK - Lahti	5:5
27.05.24	Lahti - SJK	0:4
16.07.23	Lahti - SJK	1:1
22.04.23	SJK - Lahti	0:0
24.07.22	Lahti - SJK	1:3

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