Match Info

J2 League - Round 27

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday

Location: NACK5 Stadium Omiya (Saitama)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Omiya Ardija		Roasso Kumamoto

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.5	3.8	Watch
	2.05	3.3	3.1
	1.9	3.5	3.55	Watch
	1.97	3.81	3.82
	1.80	3.62	4.18	Watch
	2.1	3.25	3.1
	1.92	3.55	3.57	Watch
	1.89	3.45	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.02)	3.5 ↓ (3.65)	3.5 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Omiya Ardija
47.4%

Draw
26.3%

Roasso Kumamoto
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

25.1%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

24.6%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Omiya Ardija has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Roasso Kumamoto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Omiya Ardija than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roasso Kumamoto than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Omiya Ardija - Roasso Kumamoto Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Omiya (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Omiya Ardija will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kasahara T. (G) 22. Motegi R. 4. Ichihara R. 13. Iyoha O. 20. Shimoguchi W. 18. Tsukui T. 41. Yachida T. 30. Arthur Feitoza 14. Izumi T. 90. Sunday O. 10. Toyokawa Y.	1. Sato S. (G) 2. Kuroki K. 4. Hakamata Y. 24. Ri T. 13. Iihoshi A. 8. Kamimura S. 6. Iwashita W. 17. Fujii K. 14. Shiohama R. 28. Kumashiro K. 10. Konagaya C.
Substitutes
29. Caprini 42. Fujii K. 44. Fukui K. 9. Gonzalez F. 21. Kato Y. (G) 34. Murakami Y. 23. Sugimoto K. 33. Wada T. 16. Yasumitsu S.	5. Abe K. 18. Handai M. 25. Kobayashi K. 15. Mishima S. 9. Omoto Y. 20. Osaki S. 23. Sato Y. (G) 7. Takemoto Y. 21. Toyoda A.
Coaches
Nagasawa T.	Oki T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Sunday O. ↓, Fujii K. ↑,
60', Toyokawa Y. ↓, Caprini ↑,
65', Iihoshi A. 🟨,
66', Kumashiro K. ↓, Handai M. ↑,
66', Iihoshi A. ↓, Omoto Y. ↑,
71', Tsukui T. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
80', Izumi T. ↓, Sugimoto K. ↑,
80', Arthur Feitoza ↓, Wada T. ↑,
82', Fujii K. ↓, Takemoto Y. ↑,
85', 1 - 0, Sugimoto K. ⚽, Fujii K. (A),
89', Konagaya C. ↓, Osaki S. ↑,
89', Yachida T. 🟨,
90', Caprini 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: ) and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Omiya won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Omiya might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Omiya won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1.1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Omiya won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RB Omiya Ardija
Japan J2 League
17.08.25	Ehime - Omiya Ardija	0:3 ✺
09.08.25	Omiya Ardija - JEF United Chiba	0:1 ✺
02.08.25	Kataller Toyama - Omiya Ardija	0:2 ✺
12.07.25	Ventforet Kofu - Omiya Ardija	1:0 ✺
05.07.25	Omiya Ardija - Iwaki	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLWLL
- Roasso Kumamoto
Japan J2 League
16.08.25	Roasso Kumamoto - Fujieda MYFC	2:1 ✺
09.08.25	Imabari - Roasso Kumamoto	3:2 ✺
03.08.25	Roasso Kumamoto - Mito HollyHock	2:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
16.07.25	Nagoya Grampus - Roasso Kumamoto	2:1 ✺
Japan J2 League
12.07.25	Blaublitz Akita - Roasso Kumamoto	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
01.03.25	Roasso Kumamoto - Omiya Ardija	0:4
16.09.23	Omiya Ardija - Roasso Kumamoto	0:3
04.03.23	Roasso Kumamoto - Omiya Ardija	3:0
04.09.22	Roasso Kumamoto - Omiya Ardija	1:0
04.03.22	Omiya Ardija - Roasso Kumamoto	1:2
29.07.18	Omiya Ardija - Roasso Kumamoto	2:1
21.03.18	Roasso Kumamoto - Omiya Ardija	2:1

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