Match Info

JAPAN: EMPERORS CUP - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 8 October 2023, Sunday

Location: Egao Kenko Stadium (Kumamoto)

Referee: Araki Y. (Jpn)


	Roasso Kumamoto		Kashiwa Reysol

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.4	1.91
	3.6	3.2	1.88
	4	3.4	1.9	Watch
	4.39	3.49	1.92
	3.8	3.3	1.83
	4.1	3.46	1.89	Watch
	3.85	3.3	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.91 ↑ (3.09)	3.36 ↑ (3.27)	1.89 ↓ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roasso Kumamoto
23.7%

Draw
27.5%

Kashiwa Reysol
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

28.4%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

27.6%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roasso Kumamoto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Roasso Kumamoto's form might have worsened.

Kashiwa Reysol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kashiwa Reysol's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roasso Kumamoto than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Roasso Kumamoto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kashiwa Reysol, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Roasso Kumamoto - Kashiwa Reysol Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tashiro R. (G) 24. Ezaki T. 17. Hirakawa R. (C) 10. Ito S. 8. Kamimura S. 2. Kuroki K. 16. Matsuoka R. 3. Onishi R. 19. Shimamura T. 14. Takemoto Y. 21. Toyoda A.	46. Matsumoto K. (G) 3. Diego 19. Hosoya M. 16. Katayama E. 4. Koga T. (C) 10. Matheus Savio 6. Shiihashi K. 5. Takamine T. 50. Tatsuta Y. 28. Toshima S. 11. Yamada K.
Substitutes
5. Abe K. 11. Aihara S. 30. Higashiyama T. 6. Okazaki M. 23. Sato Y. (G) 7. Tanabe K. 28. Toshida Y.	49. Douglas 14. Koyamatsu T. 2. Mitsumaru H. 9. Muto Y. 21. Sasaki M. (G) 41. Sento K. 34. Tsuchiya T.
Coaches
Oki T.	Ihara M.

Preview

Recent matches Kumamoto is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kashiwa is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Kumamoto could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Kashiwa will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roasso Kumamoto
Japan J2 League
30.09.23	Vegalta Sendai - Roasso Kumamoto	1:0 ✺
27.09.23	Tokushima Vortis - Roasso Kumamoto	0:1 ✺
24.09.23	Roasso Kumamoto - Tochigi	3:0 ✺
16.09.23	Omiya Ardija - Roasso Kumamoto	0:3 ✺
10.09.23	Roasso Kumamoto - Fujieda MYFC	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWWWL
- Kashiwa Reysol
Japan J1 League
30.09.23	Consadole Sapporo - Kashiwa Reysol	1:2 ✺
23.09.23	Kashiwa Reysol - Avispa Fukuoka	1:3 ✺
17.09.23	Yokohama FC - Kashiwa Reysol	1:2 ✺
02.09.23	Kashiwa Reysol - Yokohama F. Marinos	2:0 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
30.08.23	Kashiwa Reysol - Nagoya Grampus	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.4 WLWWW

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