Match Info

J3 League - Round 2

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Egao Kenko Stadium (Kumamoto)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Roasso Kumamoto		Tochigi

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.10	2.65
	2.12	3	3.15	Watch
	2.33	3.25	3.32
	2.07	3.35	3.49	Watch
	2.3	2.85	3.25
	2.23	3.22	3.22	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.02)	3.12 ↑ (3.1)	3.18 ↓ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roasso Kumamoto
41.5%

Draw
29.5%

Tochigi
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

28.9%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roasso Kumamoto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Tochigi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Roasso Kumamoto - Tochigi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sato S. (G) 4. Yakushida R. 24. Ri T. 5. Kobayashi K. 15. Mishima S. 41. Omoto Y. 29. Mishina N. 25. Nasu K. 17. Nagai S. 9. Bae Jeong-Min 7. Fujii K.	41. Tashiro R. (G) 4. Sato S. 24. Tabata R. 14. Suzuki S. 2. Sakurai R. 13. Osone K. 23. Sese H. 18. Matsushita Y. 16. Myogan T. 9. Kondo Y. 81. Nakano K.
Substitutes
18. Handai M. 14. Ishihara O. 10. Katori Y. 22. Matsuda E. 30. Nagashima S. 27. Negishi K. 21. Nishimura H. (G) 26. Toda S. 11. Watanabe R.	6. Abe K. 10. Igarashi T. 1. Kawata S. (G) 37. Kimura Y. 27. Nagai T. 77. Nakamura J. 20. Suzuki W. I. 26. Tabata T. 88. Uchida K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Fujii K. ↓, Katori Y. ↑,
34', Omoto Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
67', Omoto Y. 🟨,
67', Matsushita Y. ↓, Nagai T. ↑,
67', Sato S. ↓, Uchida K. ↑,
69', Bae Jeong-Min ↓, Ishihara O. ↑,
69', Mishina N. ↓, Matsuda E. ↑,
69', Mishima S. ↓, Negishi K. ↑,
70', Nagai S. ↓, Handai M. ↑,
76', Kondo Y. ↓, Suzuki W. I. ↑,
76', Myogan T. ↓, Igarashi T. ↑,
82', Sakurai R. ↓, Abe K. ↑,
90+1', Osone K. 🟨,
90+2', Sese H. 🟨,
90+6', Osone K. 🟨,
90+7', Nasu K. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kumamoto won 3.

Kumamoto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Kumamoto will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Kumamoto won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:11. (average 1.4:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Kumamoto won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.5:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Kumamoto	9	3	5	1	7:4	3	14
14	Tochigi SC	9	2	4	3	11:14	-3	10

Last Results with these Odds

Roasso Kumamoto - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 44.39%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roasso Kumamoto
Japan J3 League
08.08.26	Sagamihara - Roasso Kumamoto	0:0 ✺
Japan J2 J3 League
06.06.26	Sagamihara - Roasso Kumamoto	3:0 ✺
30.05.26	Ehime - Roasso Kumamoto	0:1 ✺
23.05.26	Renofa Yamaguchi - Roasso Kumamoto	1:2 penalties ✺
17.05.26	Kagoshima United - Roasso Kumamoto	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TLWWL
- Tochigi SC
Japan J2 J3 League
07.06.26	Tochigi - Giravanz Kitakyushu	2:1 AET ✺
31.05.26	Tochigi - Nagano Parceiro	0:1 penalties ✺
24.05.26	Vanraure Hachinohe - Tochigi	0:0 ✺
17.05.26	Yokohama FC - Tochigi	1:0 ✺
10.05.26	Tochigi - Blaublitz Akita	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
03.08.24	Roasso Kumamoto - Tochigi	0:2
02.06.24	Tochigi - Roasso Kumamoto	1:3
24.09.23	Roasso Kumamoto - Tochigi	3:0
19.02.23	Tochigi - Roasso Kumamoto	1:1
07.08.22	Roasso Kumamoto - Tochigi	2:0
17.04.22	Tochigi - Roasso Kumamoto	1:1
26.08.18	Roasso Kumamoto - Tochigi	0:1

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