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Current Win Probability
Kashiwa Reysol 57.2%
Draw 23.3%
Nagoya Grampus 19.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
58.9%
21.7%
19.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.5%
21.1%
18.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kashiwa Reysol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
Nagoya Grampus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Kashiwa Reysol - Nagoya Grampus Predictions
Users Predictions:
Kashiwa Reysol will win
(11 of 11 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
77. Wakahara T. (G) 28. Toshima S. 4. Koga T. (C) 26. Sugioka D. 24. Kubo T. 21. Konishi Y. 39. Nakagawa N. 5. Endo K. 8. Koizumi Y. 87. Yamauchi H. 15. Fujio S.
1. Schmidt D. (G) 70. Hara T. 13. Fujii H. 31. Takamine T. 17. Uchida T. 15. Inagaki S. (C) 14. Morishima T. 7. Izumi R. 2. Nogami Y. 22. Kimura Y. 18. Nagai K.
Substitutes
30. Furuya S. 42. Harada W. 40. Harakawa R. 9. Hosoya M. 2. Mitsumaru H. 29. Nagai K. (G) 19. Nakama H. 20. Segawa Y. 44. Yuba K.
19. Koda H. 58. Koyamatsu T. 10. Mateus 27. Nakayama K. 41. Ono M. 35. Pisano A. (G) 3. Sato Y. 55. Tokumoto S. 11. Yamagishi Y.
Coaches
Rodriguez R.
Petrovic M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Uchida T. ⚽, Kimura Y. (A),
13', Wakahara T. ↓, Nagai K. ↑,
16', Koizumi Y. 🟨,
23', 1 - 1, Endo K. ⚽, Fujio S. (A),
36', 1 - 2, Kimura Y. ⚽, Nagai K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Yamauchi H. ↓, Segawa Y. ↑,
46', Toshima S. ↓, Harada W. ↑,
52', Sugioka D. 🟨,
57', Nagai K. ↓, Koda H. ↑,
63', Kimura Y. ↓, Yamagishi Y. ↑,
68', Endo K. ↓, Yuba K. ↑,
68', Konishi Y. ↓, Harakawa R. ↑,
73', Fujio S. ↓, Hosoya M. ↑,
77', Morishima T. ↓, Ono M. ↑,
77', Nogami Y. ↓, Koyamatsu T. ↑,
77', Izumi R. ↓, Tokumoto S. ↑,
79', 1 - 3, Yamagishi Y. ⚽, Koda H. (A),
86', Takamine T. ↓, Sato Y. ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1st in the Promotion - AFC Champions League League phase and 15th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kashiwa won 2.
Kashiwa is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Nagoya has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Nagoya may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Kashiwa has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
Recently, Nagoya has had a run of games away from home.
Kashiwa carries the favorite tag into this contest.
Confirmed absences for Kashiwa: Kumasaka K.
(Knee Injury)
Okubo T.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Tezuka K.
(Knee Injury)
Yamada Y.
(Knee Injury).
Confirmed absences for Nagoya: Asano Y.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Marcus Vinicius
(Broken Leg).
Our forecast points to a victory for Kashiwa in today's match, at odds of 1.6.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Kashiwa has recorded 7 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:23 (averaging 1:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Kashiwa against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 6 losses, with 10:12 goals (averaging 0.9:1.1 per game).
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Wakahara T. (G) 
Mateus 
Rodriguez R. 
Petrovic M. 
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