Match Info

J1 League - Round 36

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium (Kashiwa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Brazil	Canal GOAT
China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Kashiwa Reysol		Nagoya Grampus

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.9	6.25	Watch
	1.52	3.9	5.9	Watch
	1.57	4.1	6.61
	1.62	3.97	5.31	Watch
	1.59	3.93	6.14	Watch
	1.63	3.85	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.62)	3.94 ↓ (3.97)	5.87 ↑ (5.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kashiwa Reysol
60%

Draw
23.9%

Nagoya Grampus
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

23.8%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

23%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kashiwa Reysol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Nagoya Grampus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.5%	5.3%	5.3%

Kashiwa Reysol - Nagoya Grampus Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Kashiwa Reysol will win (17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.67% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Kashiwa Reysol will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Kojima R. (G) 88. Baba S. 4. Koga T. 2. Mitsumaru H. 42. Harada W. 21. Konishi Y. 39. Nakagawa N. 3. Diego 8. Koizumi Y. 14. Koyamatsu T. 18. Kakita Y.	16. Takeda Y. (G) 70. Hara T. 20. Mikuni K. 3. Sato Y. 2. Nogami Y. 15. Inagaki S. 14. Morishima T. 7. Izumi R. 33. Kikuchi T. 18. Nagai K. 22. Kimura Y.
Substitutes
40. Harakawa R. 9. Hosoya M. 13. Inukai T. 29. Nagai K. (G) 19. Nakama H. 22. Noda H. 20. Segawa Y. 26. Sugioka D. 28. Toshima S.	77. Junker K. 26. Kato G. 6. Kawazura A. 44. Mori S. 35. Pisano A. (G) 8. Shiihashi K. 30. Sugiura S. 55. Tokumoto S. 11. Yamagishi Y.
Coaches
Rodriguez R.	Hasegawa K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Sato Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kakita Y. ↓, Hosoya M. ↑,
46', Diego ↓, Segawa Y. ↑,
47', 1 - 0, Mikuni K. (Own goal),
63', Mitsumaru H. ↓, Sugioka D. ↑,
65', Nagai K. ↓, Yamagishi Y. ↑,
66', Nogami Y. ↓, Mori S. ↑,
70', Konishi Y. ↓, Toshima S. ↑,
76', Sato Y. ↓, Kawazura A. ↑,
76', Hara T. ↓, Shiihashi K. ↑,
89', Kimura Y. ↓, Sugiura S. ↑,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kashiwa won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Nagoya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Kashiwa is the team to beat.

There will not play in Kashiwa: Kumasaka K. (Knee Injury) Tezuka K. (Knee Injury) Watai M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Nagoya: Kodama T. (Finger Injury) Nakayama K. (Injury) Schmidt D. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Nagoya: Mateus (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kashiwa won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:24. (average 1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Kashiwa won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 0.9:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kashiwa Reysol
Japan J League Cup
01.11.25	Kashiwa Reysol - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1:3 ✺
Japan J1 League
25.10.25	Kashiwa Reysol - Yokohama FC	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Gamba Osaka - Kashiwa Reysol	0:5 ✺
Japan J League Cup
12.10.25	Kashiwa Reysol - Kawasaki Frontale	4:1 ✺
08.10.25	Kawasaki Frontale - Kashiwa Reysol	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWWWL
- Nagoya Grampus
Japan J1 League
25.10.25	Nagoya Grampus - Gamba Osaka	0:2 ✺
18.10.25	Yokohama FC - Nagoya Grampus	2:2 ✺
04.10.25	Nagoya Grampus - Cerezo Osaka	2:1 ✺
27.09.25	Nagoya Grampus - Kashima Antlers	0:4 ✺
23.09.25	Albirex Niigata - Nagoya Grampus	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
29.04.25	Nagoya Grampus - Kashiwa Reysol	1:2
14.07.24	Nagoya Grampus - Kashiwa Reysol	2:1
Japan J League Cup
09.06.24	Nagoya Grampus - Kashiwa Reysol	1:0
05.06.24	Kashiwa Reysol - Nagoya Grampus	1:1
Japan J1 League
16.03.24	Kashiwa Reysol - Nagoya Grampus	0:2
03.12.23	Nagoya Grampus - Kashiwa Reysol	1:1
Japan Emperors Cup
30.08.23	Kashiwa Reysol - Nagoya Grampus	2:0

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