Match Info

Date: 20 April 2021, Tuesday


	Rochdale		Blackpool

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.2	2.05
	3.8	3.1	2.05
	4	3.2	2.05
	3.65	3.1	2.06
	3.94	3.22	2.13
	3.75	3.1	2.05
	4	3.25	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.86 ↓ (4.5)	3.17 ↓ (3.51)	2.08 ↑ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rochdale
24.5%

Draw
29.9%

Blackpool
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21%

26.9%

52.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.1%

20.6%

68.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rochdale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Blackpool has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Blackpool might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rochdale that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blackpool than the current prediction. (+22.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Blackpool could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rochdale - Blackpool Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation to League Two and 5 in the zone Promotion to League One (Play Offs)).

Rochdale has a good chance of relegated (79%), has not chance of prom. playoffs.

Blackpool has not chance of relegated, has a good chance of prom. playoffs (94%), has a chance of promoted (29%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Recent matches Rochdale is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Blackpool is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Blackpool will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Rochdale won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Rochdale won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rochdale AFC
English League One
17.04.21	Rochdale - Accrington Stanley	3:1 ✺
13.04.21	Rochdale - Swindon Town	2:1 ✺
10.04.21	Fleetwood Town - Rochdale	1:0 ✺
05.04.21	Rochdale - Ipswich Town	0:0 ✺
02.04.21	Portsmouth - Rochdale	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWLTL
- Blackpool
English League One
17.04.21	Blackpool - Sunderland	1:0 ✺
13.04.21	Blackpool - Accrington Stanley	0:0 ✺
10.04.21	Lincoln City - Blackpool	2:2 ✺
05.04.21	Blackpool - Gillingham	4:1 ✺
02.04.21	Swindon Town - Blackpool	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
16.02.21	Blackpool - Rochdale	1:0
24.08.19	Rochdale - Blackpool	0:0
26.12.18	Rochdale - Blackpool	2:1
06.10.18	Blackpool - Rochdale	2:2
01.01.18	Rochdale - Blackpool	1:2
26.09.17	Blackpool - Rochdale	0:0
16.04.16	Rochdale - Blackpool	3:0

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