Match Info

Date: 17 April 2021, Saturday


	Rochdale		Accrington Stanley

	1	X	2
	2.62	3.5	2.55
	2.65	3.4	2.5
	2.7	3.4	2.6
	2.75	3.25	2.47
	2.8	3.51	2.56
	2.7	3.2	2.5
	2.81	3.58	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.66)	3.41 ↑ (3.37)	2.54 ↓ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rochdale
34.8%

Draw
27.8%

Accrington Stanley
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

28%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8%

19.6%

52.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rochdale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Accrington Stanley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rochdale that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (+14.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Accrington Stanley could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rochdale - Accrington Stanley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation to League Two and 11).

Rochdale has a good chance of relegated (81%), has not chance of prom. playoffs.

Accrington has not chance of relegated, has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Rochdale won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Rochdale won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rochdale AFC
English League One
13.04.21	Rochdale - Swindon Town	2:1 ✺
10.04.21	Fleetwood Town - Rochdale	1:0 ✺
05.04.21	Rochdale - Ipswich Town	0:0 ✺
02.04.21	Portsmouth - Rochdale	2:1 ✺
20.03.21	Rochdale - Peterborough United	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WLTLT
- Accrington Stanley
English League One
13.04.21	Blackpool - Accrington Stanley	0:0 ✺
10.04.21	Accrington Stanley - AFC Wimbledon	1:5 ✺
05.04.21	Oxford United - Accrington Stanley	1:2 ✺
02.04.21	Accrington Stanley - Burton Albion	0:0 ✺
27.03.21	Peterborough United - Accrington Stanley	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
10.10.20	Accrington Stanley - Rochdale	2:1
01.01.20	Accrington Stanley - Rochdale	1:2
12.10.19	Rochdale - Accrington Stanley	2:1
09.04.19	Accrington Stanley - Rochdale	0:1
24.11.18	Rochdale - Accrington Stanley	1:0
Club Friendly
28.07.15	Accrington Stanley - Rochdale	1:0
English League Two
15.03.14	Rochdale - Accrington Stanley	2:1

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