The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rochdale 32.7%
Draw 27.5%
Accrington Stanley 39.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
39.8%
28%
32.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.3%
28.4%
31.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rochdale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rochdale's form might have worsened.
Accrington Stanley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Accrington Stanley's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rochdale, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Accrington Stanley, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Rochdale - Accrington Stanley Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
20. Waller S. (G) 26. Sherring S. 44. Flint A. 3. Wilson K. 2. Tasker C. 8. Gilmour H. (C) 14. Francis E. 7. Hayes C. 17. Adeeko B. 45. Middleton G. 39. Brown D.
1. Moulden L. (G) 2. Love D. 17. Matthews D. (C) 22. Anderson J. 38. O'Brien C. 14. Mols S. 16. Borland A. 33. Tutonda D. 39. Woods J. 23. Walton T. 30. Warren C.
Substitutes
33. Beckwith S. 19. Hannant L. 40. Henderson I. 56. Leonard R. 35. Paterson J. 11. Silcott-Duberry Z. 12. Spaven J. (G)
20. Brown C. 8. Grant C. 10. Henderson A. 4. Moore T. 5. Rawson F. 21. Rogerson J. (G) 3. Smith O.
Coaches
Watson I.
Doolan J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 3)
14', 0 - 1, Woods J. ⚽,
20', Woods J. ↓, Henderson A. ↑,
23', Tutonda D. 🟨,
33', Love D. 🟨,
38', 0 - 2, Warren C. ⚽, Walton T. (A),
45+1', 0 - 3, Walton T. ⚽, Tutonda D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
50', Henderson A. 🟨,
51', 0 - 4, Walton T. ⚽,
56', Adeeko B. ↓, Henderson I. ↑,
56', Sherring S. ↓, Hannant L. ↑,
58', Warren C. 🟨,
66', 0 - 5, Henderson A. ⚽, Warren C. (A),
70', Tasker C. ↓, Beckwith S. ↑,
70', Hayes C. ↓, Paterson J. ↑,
73', Borland A. ↓, Grant C. ↑,
83', Middleton G. ↓, Silcott-Duberry Z. ↑,
87', Beckwith S. 🟨,
88', Warren C. ↓, Brown C. ↑,
Preview
A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 14th and 11th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rochdale won 3.
In recent outings, Rochdale has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Accrington is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Confirmed absences for Rochdale: Bilongo B.
(Inactive)
East R.
(Inactive)
Ebanks-Landell E.
(Inactive)
Jenkins W.
(Inactive)
Maguire L.
(Inactive)
Moss D.
(Inactive)
Pettit C.
(Inactive)
Ramming N.
(Inactive)
Rodney D.
(Inactive)
Smith J.
(Injury).
Confirmed absences for Accrington: Mooney K.
(Knee Injury)
Rawson F.
(Inactive)
Sinclair I.
(Inactive)
Whalley S.
(Inactive).
Doubtful / questionable for Accrington: Caton C.
(Inactive)
Conneely S.
(Injury)
Coyle L.
(Inactive)
Henderson A.
(Inactive).
In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Rochdale has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:17 (averaging 1.7:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Rochdale against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 8:6 goals (averaging 1.6:1.2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
9
Accrington
13
4
6
3
22:16
6
18
17
Rochdale
13
4
3
6
15:22
-7
15
Outrights of English League Two for now
Accrington: 2.27% Rochdale: 0.66%
Last Results with these Odds
Rochdale - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 39.83%, but this team recently wins 47% of matches with these odds.
Accrington Stanley - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 32.22%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Waller S. (G) 
Hayes C. 
Middleton G. 
Brown D. 
Mols S. 
Tutonda D. 
