The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Portsmouth 59%
Draw 24.8%
Rochdale 16.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.4%
23.5%
15.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.4%
14.3%
24.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portsmouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
Rochdale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (-21.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Portsmouth that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rochdale could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
73.3%
10%
16.7%
Portsmouth - Rochdale Predictions
Users Predictions:
30 users predict this event. Portsmouth will win (votes: 22 - 73.3%). Rochdale will win (votes: 5 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 10%). Confidence interval (95%) for Portsmouth: 57.5% – 89.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion to League One (Play Offs) and 24 in the zone Relegation to League Two).
Portsmouth has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (66%), has a chance of promoted (16%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Rochdale has a good chance of relegated (71%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.
Recent matches Portsmouth is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Rochdale is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Rochdale could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Portsmouth is a favorite.
Last 10 head-to-head matches Portsmouth won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 22-8.
Including matches at home between the teams Portsmouth won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-1.
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