The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rochdale 42.3%
Draw 26.1%
Swindon Town 31.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39%
26.5%
34.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.8%
26.6%
34.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rochdale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
77.8%
11.1%
11.1%
Rochdale - Swindon Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Rochdale will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Swindon will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Rochdale: 50.6% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ramming N. (G) 26. Sherring S. 44. Flint A. 3. Wilson K. 2. Tasker C. 8. Gilmour H. (C) 14. Francis E. 18. Smith J. 17. Adeeko B. 45. Middleton G. 39. Brown D.
1. Ripley C. (G) 6. Ball J. 5. Negru S. 21. Majekodunmi K. 34. Kirkman B. 7. Nichols T. 25. Thomson J. 27. Munda A. 26. Butler D. 23. Drinan A. (C) 29. Hackford A.
Substitutes
33. Beckwith S. 9. Dieseruvwe E. 19. Hannant L. 7. Hayes C. 40. Henderson I. 11. Silcott-Duberry Z. 20. Waller S. (G)
14. Butterworth D. 8. Clarke O. 18. Debayo J. 15. Hungbo J. 39. Millard L. 22. Pearman J. 12. Ward L. (G)
Coaches
Watson I.
Holloway I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Smith J. ↓, Hannant L. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
69', Nichols T. ↓, Clarke O. ↑,
72', Hannant L. ↓, Hayes C. ↑,
73', Francis E. ↓, Dieseruvwe E. ↑,
81', Majekodunmi K. 🟨,
83', Drinan A. ↓, Hungbo J. ↑,
85', Majekodunmi K. 🟨,
88', 1 - 0, Hayes C. ⚽, Flint A. (A),
90+2', Kirkman B. ↓, Butterworth D. ↑,
90+2', Thomson J. ↓, Millard L. ↑,
Preview
Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 16th and 12th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rochdale won 1.
In recent outings, Rochdale has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Swindon is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Rochdale holding a narrow advantage.
Confirmed absences for Rochdale: Adebayo-Rowling T.
(Red Card)
East R.
(Inactive)
Ebanks-Landell E.
(Inactive)
Jenkins W.
(Inactive)
Maguire L.
(Inactive)
Pettit C.
(Inactive).
Confirmed absences for Swindon: Holman F.
(Inactive)
Kilkenny G.
(Inactive)
McGregor J.
(Injury)
Palmer O.
(Inactive)
Smith H.
(Knee Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Rochdale: Beckwith S.
(Inactive)
Bilongo B.
(Inactive).
Doubtful / questionable for Swindon: Middlemas B.
(Inactive)
Millard L.
(Injury)
Snowdon J.
(Inactive)
Tafazolli R.
(Inactive).
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Rochdale has recorded 4 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 24:27 (averaging 1.8:2.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Rochdale against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 17:12 goals (averaging 2.4:1.7 per game).
Outrights of English League Two for now
Rochdale: 1.83% Swindon: 1.7%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
11
Rochdale
9
4
1
4
10:11
-1
13
13
Swindon
9
3
2
4
9:13
-4
11
Last Results with these Odds
Swindon Town - the odds 2.69 are the expected chance of winning is 34.52%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.
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Ramming N. (G) 
Sherring S. 
Adeeko B. 
Middleton G. 
Brown D. 
Negru S. 
Majekodunmi K. 
