The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lincoln City 49.3%
Draw 24.1%
Manchester United U21 26.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.6%
25%
32.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.1%
25.9%
31.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lincoln City's performance.
Manchester United U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Manchester United U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lincoln City that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester United U21 than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
87.5%
0%
12.5%
Lincoln City - Manchester United U21 Predictions
Users Predictions:
Lincoln City will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%). Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% โ 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lincoln City will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) ๐ฅ Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Jeacock Z. (C) 23. Lembikisa D. 22. Hamer T. 4. Montsma L. 6. Towler R. 24. Varfolomeev I. 25. Barbrook F. 11. Thorn O. 19. Okoronkwo F. 12. Ring E. 20. Obikwu J.
63. Murdock W. (G) 67. Devaney J. (C) 51. Bennett R. 39. Fletcher T. 70. Mantato B. 65. Munro R. 38. Fletcher J. 61. Lacey S. 62. Fitzgerald J. 59. Scanlon J. 32. Obi C.
Substitutes
8. Bayliss T. 9. Collins J. 34. Draper F. 7. Hackett-Fairchild R. 21. Pardington J. (G) 3. Reach A. 17. Street R.
60. Biancheri G. 78. Heath F. (G) 73. Ibragimov A. 55. McAllister F. 71. Mills A. F. 64. Musa V. 77. Thwaites J.
Coaches
Skubala M.
Binnion T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Varfolomeev I. 🟨,
30', Towler R. 🟨,
32', Devaney J. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
47', 1 - 0, Hamer T. ⚽,
65', Obikwu J. ↓, Hackett-Fairchild R. ↑,
65', Okoronkwo F. ↓, Street R. ↑,
66', Varfolomeev I. ↓, Bayliss T. ↑,
66', Thorn O. ↓, Draper F. ↑,
67', Obi C. ↓, Biancheri G. ↑,
67', 2 - 0, Ring E. ⚽, Lembikisa D. (A),
71', Hamer T. ↓, Reach A. ↑,
82', Scanlon J. ↓, Ibragimov A. ↑,
82', Bennett R. ↓, McAllister F. ↑,
85', Fitzgerald J. ↓, Musa V. ↑,
89', 3 - 0, Hackett-Fairchild R. ⚽,
Preview
Now, both teams are in good form.
Man Utd U21 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Lincoln is seen as the favorite.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Lincoln won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Lincoln City - the odds 2.13 are the expected chance of winning is 42.62%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
United-kingdom
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Jeacock Z. (C) 
Lembikisa D. 
Montsma L. 
Varfolomeev I. 
Ring E. 
Obikwu J. 
Murdock W. (G) 
Devaney J. (C) 
Fletcher T. 
Scanlon J. 
Obi C. 
Hackett-Fairchild R. 
Biancheri G. 
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