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Current Win Probability
Barnsley 47.8%
Draw 20.9%
Manchester United U21 31.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.2%
23%
24.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.9%
23.8%
24%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barnsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
Manchester United U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Manchester United U21's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barnsley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester United U21 than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Manchester United U21, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
90.9%
0%
9.1%
Barnsley - Manchester United U21 Predictions
Users Predictions:
Barnsley will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%). Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Barnsley will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
51. Flavell K. (G) 18. Rooney J. 6. de Gevigney M. 4. Roberts M. (C) 14. Ogbeta N. 22. Kelly P. 45. Yoganathan V. 8. Phillips A. 7. Vickers C. 23. Farrugia N. 10. McGoldrick D.
63. Murdock W. (G) 67. Devaney J. (C) 35. Leon D. 39. Fletcher T. 70. Mantato B. 33. Fredricson T. 38. Fletcher J. 61. Lacey S. 75. Armer D. 89. Helafu Y. 32. Obi C.
Substitutes
42. Alker L. 19. Cleary R. 32. Earl J. 40. Keillor-Dunn D. 3. Russell J. 5. Shepherd J. 12. Smith J. (G)
60. Biancheri G. 62. Fitzgerald J. 78. Heath F. (G) 55. McAllister F. 64. Musa V. 59. Scanlon J. 77. Thwaites J.
Coaches
Hourihane C.
Binnion T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Fletcher J. ⚽, Obi C. (A),
43', 1 - 1, McGoldrick D. (Pen),
44', Phillips A. ↓, Russell J. ↑,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
51', 2 - 1, McGoldrick D. ⚽, Vickers C. (A),
53', 2 - 2, Obi C. ⚽, Lacey S. (A),
58', Helafu Y. ↓, McAllister F. ↑,
62', 3 - 2, McGoldrick D. ⚽, Vickers C. (A),
63', Leon D. ↓, Scanlon J. ↑,
64', Fletcher J. 🟥,
71', Kelly P. ↓, Shepherd J. ↑,
74', 4 - 2, Farrugia N. ⚽, Russell J. (A),
79', 5 - 2, Russell J. ⚽, Ogbeta N. (A),
80', Lacey S. ↓, Fitzgerald J. ↑,
80', Obi C. ↓, Biancheri G. ↑,
82', Ogbeta N. ↓, Keillor-Dunn D. ↑,
82', Vickers C. ↓, Alker L. ↑,
Preview
Recent form of Barnsley has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Man Utd U21 is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Man Utd U21 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Barnsley is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Barnsley won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
Including home match between the teams, Barnsley won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
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Flavell K. (G) 
de Gevigney M. 
Kelly P. 
Yoganathan V. 
Farrugia N. 
Leon D. 
Fletcher T. 
Obi C. 
Russell J. 
Scanlon J. 
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