Match Info

National League - Round 14

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: The New Lawn (Nailsworth) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	16:00	DAZN
Argentina	11:00	DAZN
Australia	00:00	DAZN
Austria	16:00	DAZN
Belarus	17:00	DAZN
Bolivia	10:00	DAZN
Brazil	11:00	DAZN Brasil
Bulgaria	17:00	DAZN
Canada	10:00	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Colombia	09:00	DAZN
Croatia	16:00	DAZN
Cyprus	17:00	DAZN
Czech Republic	16:00	DAZN
Denmark	16:00	DAZN
Ecuador	09:00	DAZN
Finland	17:00	DAZN
France	16:00	DAZN France
Germany	16:00	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	17:00	DAZN
Hong Kong	22:00	DAZN
Hungary	16:00	DAZN
India	19:30	DAZN
Indonesia	21:00	DAZN
Italy	16:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	23:00	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	20:00	DAZN
Latvia	17:00	DAZN
Lithuania	17:00	DAZN
Malaysia	22:00	DAZN
Mexico	08:00	DAZN
New Zealand	03:00	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	15:00	DAZN
North Macedonia	16:00	DAZN
Norway	16:00	DAZN
Paraguay	10:00	DAZN
Philippines	22:00	DAZN
Poland	16:00	DAZN
Portugal	15:00	DAZN / App
Romania	17:00	DAZN
Russia	17:00	DAZN
Serbia	16:00	DAZN
Slovenia	16:00	DAZN
South Africa	16:00	DAZN
South Korea	23:00	DAZN
Spain	16:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	16:00	DAZN
Switzerland	16:00	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	22:00	DAZN
Thailand	21:00	DAZN
Ukraine	17:00	DAZN
United Arab Emirates	18:00	DAZN
United Kingdom	15:00	DAZN
Uruguay	11:00	DAZN
Usa	10:00	DAZN USA
Uzbekistan	19:00	DAZN
Venezuela	10:00	DAZN
Vietnam	21:00	DAZN


	Forest Green Rovers		Rochdale

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.3	3.2
	1.98	3.25	3.25
	2.08	3.3	3.3
	2.48	3.3	2.92
	2.42	2.86	3.20	Watch
	2.08	3.3	3.37
	2.03	3.15	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (1.95)	3.21 ↓ (3.5)	3.21 ↓ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Forest Green Rovers
42.5%

Draw
28.7%

Rochdale
28.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.5%

26.4%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

27.8%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forest Green Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Rochdale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forest Green Rovers than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Forest Green Rovers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Forest Green Rovers - Rochdale Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. McNicholas L. (G) 21. Pemberton T. 5. Inniss R. 15. Moore-Taylor J. (C) 6. Mendy L. 24. Buyabu J. 18. Moore I. 9. Doidge C. 25. Whitwell H. 11. Knowles T. 29. Mitchell K.	1. Whatmuff O. (G) 2. Gordon K. 6. Ebanks-Landell E. (C) 33. Beckwith S. 30. Berkoe K. 22. Moss D. 8. Gilmour H. 4. East R. 18. Barlow A. 9. Dieseruvwe E. 10. Rodney D.
Substitutes
26. Balagizi J. 16. Bunker H. 23. Cardwell H. 8. Haughton N. 3. Kengni N. 37. Marquez J. 12. Pagel F. (G)	7. Allarakhia T. 12. Amantchi L. 27. Humbles L. 21. McBride C. 20. Myles T. (G) 16. Pettit C. . Smith T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', Moss D. 🟨,
44', 0 - 1, Gordon K. ⚽, Barlow A. (A),
45', Gilmour H. 🟨,
45', Knowles T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Doidge C. ↓, Marquez J. ↑,
61', Mitchell K. ↓, Cardwell H. ↑,
67', Barlow A. ↓, McBride C. ↑,
67', Moore I. ↓, Haughton N. ↑,
76', Mendy L. ↓, Balagizi J. ↑,
77', Buyabu J. ↓, Kengni N. ↑,
83', Ebanks-Landell E. 🟨,
85', East R. ↓, Pettit C. ↑,
85', Rodney D. ↓, Smith T. ↑,
85', Moss D. ↓, Allarakhia T. ↑,
90+1', Pemberton T. 🟨,
90+12', McBride C. ↓, Amantchi L. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Now, both teams are in good form.

Rochdale may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Forest Green is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Forest Green won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Forest Green won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forest Green Rovers
English National League
01.10.25	Boston United - Forest Green Rovers	0:0 ✺
27.09.25	Forest Green Rovers - York City	1:1 ✺
23.09.25	Altrincham - Forest Green Rovers	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Woking - Forest Green Rovers	0:2 ✺
English National League Cup
16.09.25	Forest Green Rovers - Wolverhampton Wanderers U21	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TTWWW
- Rochdale AFC
English National League
01.10.25	Rochdale - Halifax Town	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Carlisle United - Rochdale	0:2 ✺
23.09.25	Rochdale - Solihull Moors	4:1 ✺
English National League Cup
16.09.25	Rochdale - Blackburn Rovers U21	3:2 ✺
English National League
13.09.25	Truro City - Rochdale	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
18.01.25	Forest Green Rovers - Rochdale	1:0
24.08.24	Rochdale - Forest Green Rovers	0:0
English League Two
08.02.22	Forest Green Rovers - Rochdale	2:1
17.08.21	Rochdale - Forest Green Rovers	1:2

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