Match Info

National League - Round 14

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: The New Lawn (Nailsworth)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Forest Green Rovers		Rochdale

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.3	3.2
	1.98	3.25	3.25
	2.08	3.3	3.3
	2.48	3.3	2.92
	2.42	2.86	3.20	Watch
	2.08	3.3	3.37
	2.03	3.15	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (1.95)	3.21 ↓ (3.5)	3.21 ↓ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Forest Green Rovers
42.5%

Draw
28.7%

Rochdale
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

26.4%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

27.8%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forest Green Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Rochdale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forest Green Rovers than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Forest Green Rovers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Forest Green Rovers - Rochdale Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. McNicholas L. (G) 21. Pemberton T. 5. Inniss R. 15. Moore-Taylor J. (C) 6. Mendy L. 24. Buyabu J. 18. Moore I. 9. Doidge C. 25. Whitwell H. 11. Knowles T. 29. Mitchell K.	1. Whatmuff O. (G) 2. Gordon K. 6. Ebanks-Landell E. (C) 33. Beckwith S. 30. Berkoe K. 22. Moss D. 8. Gilmour H. 4. East R. 18. Barlow A. 9. Dieseruvwe E. 10. Rodney D.
Substitutes
26. Balagizi J. 16. Bunker H. 23. Cardwell H. 8. Haughton N. 3. Kengni N. 37. Marquez J. 12. Pagel F. (G)	7. Allarakhia T. 12. Amantchi L. 27. Humbles L. 21. McBride C. 20. Myles T. (G) 16. Pettit C. . Smith T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', Moss D. 🟨,
44', 0 - 1, Gordon K. ⚽, Barlow A. (A),
45', Gilmour H. 🟨,
45', Knowles T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Doidge C. ↓, Marquez J. ↑,
61', Mitchell K. ↓, Cardwell H. ↑,
67', Barlow A. ↓, McBride C. ↑,
67', Moore I. ↓, Haughton N. ↑,
76', Mendy L. ↓, Balagizi J. ↑,
77', Buyabu J. ↓, Kengni N. ↑,
83', Ebanks-Landell E. 🟨,
85', East R. ↓, Pettit C. ↑,
85', Rodney D. ↓, Smith T. ↑,
85', Moss D. ↓, Allarakhia T. ↑,
90+1', Pemberton T. 🟨,
90+12', McBride C. ↓, Amantchi L. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Now, both teams are in good form.

Rochdale may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Forest Green is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Forest Green won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Forest Green won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forest Green Rovers
English National League
01.10.25	Boston United - Forest Green Rovers	0:0 ✺
27.09.25	Forest Green Rovers - York City	1:1 ✺
23.09.25	Altrincham - Forest Green Rovers	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Woking - Forest Green Rovers	0:2 ✺
English National League Cup
16.09.25	Forest Green Rovers - Wolverhampton Wanderers U21	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TTWWW
- Rochdale AFC
English National League
01.10.25	Rochdale - Halifax Town	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Carlisle United - Rochdale	0:2 ✺
23.09.25	Rochdale - Solihull Moors	4:1 ✺
English National League Cup
16.09.25	Rochdale - Blackburn Rovers U21	3:2 ✺
English National League
13.09.25	Truro City - Rochdale	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
18.01.25	Forest Green Rovers - Rochdale	1:0
24.08.24	Rochdale - Forest Green Rovers	0:0
English League Two
08.02.22	Forest Green Rovers - Rochdale	2:1
17.08.21	Rochdale - Forest Green Rovers	1:2

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