Match Info

National League - Round 46

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Spotland Stadium (Rochdale)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Rochdale		York City

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.25	2.5
	2.68	3.4	2.42
	2.63	3.5	2.56
	2.64	3.34	2.54	Watch
	2.6	3.25	2.5
	2.55	3.26	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↓ (2.99)	3.33 ↓ (3.49)	2.49 ↑ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rochdale
35.2%

Draw
27.7%

York City
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

26.6%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

26%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rochdale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and York City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for York City than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that York City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Rochdale - York City Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Rochdale will win (votes: 9 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rochdale: 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Whatmuff O. (G) 2. Gordon K. 6. Ebanks-Landell E. (C) 25. Perry C. 4. East R. 8. Gilmour H. 14. Adebayo-Rowling T. 22. Moss D. 10. Rodney D. 12. Hannant L. 9. Dieseruvwe E.	1. Male H. (G) 15. King J. 4. Fagan-Walcott M. 29. Johnson Z. 3. Kitching M. 8. Hunt A. 21. Boateng H. 14. Brookes B. 28. Banks O. 10. Pearce O. (C) 9. Stones J.
Substitutes
35. Baptiste A. 18. Barlow A. 36. Francis E. 40. Henderson I. 16. Pettit C. 17. Pritchard J. 38. Smith T.	18. Batty D. 2. Fallowfield R. 12. Grey J. 5. Howe C. 30. Newby A. 22. Olley G. 31. Sykes-Kenworthy G. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Banks O. 🟨,
35', East R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', Gilmour H. 🟨,
67', East R. ↓, Pettit C. ↑,
67', Hannant L. ↓, Barlow A. ↑,
67', Rodney D. ↓, Henderson I. ↑,
69', Hunt A. ↓, Grey J. ↑,
69', King J. ↓, Fallowfield R. ↑,
69', Banks O. ↓, Batty D. ↑,
75', Brookes B. ↓, Howe C. ↑,
76', Adebayo-Rowling T. ↓, Pritchard J. ↑,
84', Gilmour H. ↓, Smith T. ↑,
88', Pearce O. ↓, Olley G. ↑,
90+2', Pritchard J. 🟨,
90+5', 1 - 0, Dieseruvwe E. ⚽,
90+6', Smith T. 🟨,
90+6', Dieseruvwe E. 🟨,
90+13', 1 - 1, Stones J. ⚽,

Preview

Replayed if draw.

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rochdale won 0.

Rochdale is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

York is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Rochdale won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 0.7:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Rochdale won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.6:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rochdale AFC
English National League
18.04.26	Braintree Town - Rochdale	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Rochdale - Wealdstone	2:1 ✺
06.04.26	Hartlepool United - Rochdale	0:0 ✺
03.04.26	Rochdale - Morecambe	2:4 ✺
28.03.26	Sutton United - Rochdale	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWTLW
- York City
English National League
18.04.26	York City - Yeovil Town	3:0 ✺
11.04.26	Tamworth - York City	0:1 ✺
06.04.26	York City - Altrincham	2:1 ✺
03.04.26	Boston United - York City	0:1 ✺
28.03.26	York City - Woking	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
11.11.25	York City - Rochdale	4:1
English FA Cup
11.10.25	Rochdale - York City	1:2
English National League
25.03.25	Rochdale - York City	0:4
20.08.24	York City - Rochdale	1:0
16.12.23	Rochdale - York City	0:0
28.08.23	York City - Rochdale	1:3
English League Two
05.04.14	Rochdale - York City	0:0

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