Match Info

National League - Round 46

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Spotland Stadium (Rochdale) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	13:30	DAZN
Argentina	08:30	DAZN
Australia	21:30	DAZN
Austria	13:30	DAZN
Belarus	14:30	DAZN
Bolivia	07:30	DAZN
Brazil	08:30	DAZN Brasil
Bulgaria	14:30	DAZN
Canada	07:30	DAZN Canada
Colombia	06:30	DAZN
Croatia	13:30	DAZN
Cyprus	14:30	DAZN
Czech Republic	13:30	DAZN
Denmark	13:30	DAZN
Ecuador	06:30	DAZN
Finland	14:30	DAZN
France	13:30	DAZN France
Germany	13:30	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	14:30	DAZN
Hong Kong	19:30	DAZN
Hungary	13:30	DAZN
India	17:00	DAZN
Indonesia	18:30	DAZN
Japan	20:30	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	17:30	DAZN
Latvia	14:30	DAZN
Lithuania	14:30	DAZN
Malaysia	19:30	DAZN
Mexico	05:30	DAZN
New Zealand	23:30	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	12:30	DAZN
North Macedonia	13:30	DAZN
Norway	13:30	DAZN
Paraguay	07:30	DAZN
Philippines	19:30	DAZN
Poland	13:30	DAZN
Portugal	12:30	DAZN / App
Romania	14:30	DAZN
Russia	14:30	DAZN
Serbia	13:30	DAZN
Slovenia	13:30	DAZN
South Africa	13:30	DAZN
South Korea	20:30	DAZN
Spain	13:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	13:30	DAZN
Switzerland	13:30	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	19:30	DAZN
Thailand	18:30	DAZN
Ukraine	14:30	DAZN
United Arab Emirates	15:30	DAZN
United Kingdom	12:30	DAZN
Uruguay	08:30	DAZN
Usa	07:30	DAZN USA
Uzbekistan	16:30	DAZN
Venezuela	07:30	DAZN
Vietnam	18:30	DAZN


	Rochdale		York City

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.25	2.5
	2.68	3.4	2.42
	2.63	3.5	2.56
	2.64	3.34	2.54	Watch
	2.6	3.25	2.5
	2.55	3.26	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↓ (2.99)	3.33 ↓ (3.49)	2.49 ↑ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rochdale
35.2%

Draw
27.7%

York City
37.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31%

26.6%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

26.1%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rochdale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and York City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for York City than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that York City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Rochdale - York City Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Rochdale will win (votes: 9 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rochdale: 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Whatmuff O. (G) 2. Gordon K. 6. Ebanks-Landell E. (C) 25. Perry C. 4. East R. 8. Gilmour H. 14. Adebayo-Rowling T. 22. Moss D. 10. Rodney D. 12. Hannant L. 9. Dieseruvwe E.	1. Male H. (G) 15. King J. 4. Fagan-Walcott M. 29. Johnson Z. 3. Kitching M. 8. Hunt A. 21. Boateng H. 14. Brookes B. 28. Banks O. 10. Pearce O. (C) 9. Stones J.
Substitutes
35. Baptiste A. 18. Barlow A. 36. Francis E. 40. Henderson I. 16. Pettit C. 17. Pritchard J. 38. Smith T.	18. Batty D. 2. Fallowfield R. 12. Grey J. 5. Howe C. 30. Newby A. 22. Olley G. 31. Sykes-Kenworthy G. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Banks O. 🟨,
35', East R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', Gilmour H. 🟨,
67', East R. ↓, Pettit C. ↑,
67', Hannant L. ↓, Barlow A. ↑,
67', Rodney D. ↓, Henderson I. ↑,
69', Hunt A. ↓, Grey J. ↑,
69', King J. ↓, Fallowfield R. ↑,
69', Banks O. ↓, Batty D. ↑,
75', Brookes B. ↓, Howe C. ↑,
76', Adebayo-Rowling T. ↓, Pritchard J. ↑,
84', Gilmour H. ↓, Smith T. ↑,
88', Pearce O. ↓, Olley G. ↑,
90+2', Pritchard J. 🟨,
90+5', 1 - 0, Dieseruvwe E. ⚽,
90+6', Smith T. 🟨,
90+6', Dieseruvwe E. 🟨,
90+13', 1 - 1, Stones J. ⚽,

Preview

Replayed if draw.

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rochdale won 0.

Rochdale is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

York is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Rochdale won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 0.7:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Rochdale won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.6:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rochdale AFC
English National League
18.04.26	Braintree Town - Rochdale	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Rochdale - Wealdstone	2:1 ✺
06.04.26	Hartlepool United - Rochdale	0:0 ✺
03.04.26	Rochdale - Morecambe	2:4 ✺
28.03.26	Sutton United - Rochdale	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWTLW
- York City
English National League
18.04.26	York City - Yeovil Town	3:0 ✺
11.04.26	Tamworth - York City	0:1 ✺
06.04.26	York City - Altrincham	2:1 ✺
03.04.26	Boston United - York City	0:1 ✺
28.03.26	York City - Woking	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
11.11.25	York City - Rochdale	4:1
English FA Cup
11.10.25	Rochdale - York City	1:2
English National League
25.03.25	Rochdale - York City	0:4
20.08.24	York City - Rochdale	1:0
16.12.23	Rochdale - York City	0:0
28.08.23	York City - Rochdale	1:3
English League Two
05.04.14	Rochdale - York City	0:0

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