Match Info

National League - Round 11

Date: 23 September 2025, Tuesday

Location: Spotland Stadium (Rochdale)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Rochdale		Solihull Moors

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.2	5
	1.5	4.35	5.5
	1.5	4.3	6.22
	1.00	15.88	25.00	Watch
	1.54	4.37	5.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.51)	6.62 ↑ (4.18)	9.39 ↑ (5.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rochdale
73.4%

Draw
15.6%

Solihull Moors
11%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.5%

22.2%

16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.9%

21.4%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rochdale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rochdale's performance.

Solihull Moors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Solihull Moors might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rochdale that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Solihull Moors than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	10%	10%

Rochdale - Solihull Moors Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Rochdale (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Solihull (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Users Predictions: Rochdale will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Whatmuff O. (G) 14. Adebayo-Rowling T. 7. Allarakhia T. 12. Amantchi L. 33. Beckwith S. 4. East R. 6. Ebanks-Landell E. (C) 8. Gilmour H. 2. Gordon K. 21. McBride C. 10. Rodney D.	1. Walker L. (G) 2. Clarke J. 9. Creaney D. 3. Green C. 12. Lipsiuc D. 6. Nicholson B. 4. Osborne J. (C) 21. Rutherford O. 29. Stevenson B. 18. Wakeling J. 5. Whitmore A.
Substitutes
18. Barlow A. 30. Berkoe K. 19. Burger J. 40. Henderson I. 27. Humbles L. 22. Moss D. 16. Pettit C.	8. Bowen S. 13. Brown R. (G) 26. French T. 14. Jackson L. 7. McFarlane C. 16. Tipton O. 27. Whyte-Hall S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
6', Wakeling J. 🟨,
8', 1 - 0, East R. ⚽,
17', 2 - 0, East R. ⚽, Adebayo-Rowling T. (A),
20', 3 - 0, Rodney D. ⚽, McBride C. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Osborne J. 🟨,
50', 4 - 0, Beckwith S. ⚽, McBride C. (A),
55', Osborne J. ↓, Tipton O. ↑,
55', Creaney D. ↓, McFarlane C. ↑,
55', Stevenson B. ↓, French T. ↑,
58', 4 - 1, McFarlane C. ⚽, Rutherford O. (A),
61', East R. 🟨,
64', Allarakhia T. ↓, Barlow A. ↑,
64', McBride C. ↓, Berkoe K. ↑,
69', Rutherford O. ↓, Bowen S. ↑,
75', Adebayo-Rowling T. ↓, Moss D. ↑,
75', Rodney D. ↓, Burger J. ↑,
80', East R. ↓, Pettit C. ↑,
80', Wakeling J. ↓, Whyte-Hall S. ↑,
84', Gordon K. 🟨,
90+1', Pettit C. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 18).

Rochdale has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Solihull is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Solihull may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Rochdale is a strong favorite.

We predict that Rochdale will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Rochdale won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Rochdale won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rochdale AFC
English National League Cup
16.09.25	Rochdale - Blackburn Rovers U21	3:2 ✺
English National League
13.09.25	Truro City - Rochdale	0:1 ✺
06.09.25	Rochdale - Braintree Town	2:0 ✺
30.08.25	Wealdstone - Rochdale	1:3 ✺
25.08.25	Rochdale - Sutton United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWWWW
- Solihull Moors
English National League
20.09.25	York City - Solihull Moors	0:1 ✺
English National League Cup
16.09.25	Solihull Moors - Burnley U21	1:0 penalties ✺
English National League
13.09.25	Solihull Moors - Morecambe	4:4 ✺
06.09.25	Boston United - Solihull Moors	1:2 ✺
02.09.25	Solihull Moors - Yeovil Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.1 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
29.04.25	Solihull Moors - Rochdale	0:1
14.09.24	Rochdale - Solihull Moors	1:2
17.02.24	Rochdale - Solihull Moors	1:2
03.10.23	Solihull Moors - Rochdale	2:0

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