Match Info

National League - Round 9

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Truro Sports Hub (Truro)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Truro City		Rochdale

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.6	1.8
	3.9	3.4	1.75
	4.25	3.65	1.75
	4.55	3.75	1.75
	13.36	4.29	1.30	Watch
	4.35	3.64	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.72 ↑ (4)	3.72 ↑ (3.59)	1.68 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Truro City
16.8%

Draw
25.9%

Rochdale
57.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.2%

25.9%

50.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.4%

25%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Truro City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Truro City's form might have worsened.

Rochdale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rochdale's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Truro City than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Truro City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Truro City - Rochdale Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rochdale (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Rochdale (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Rochdale (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Stone A. (G) 2. Bell Z. 4. Dean W. 25. Donnellan S. 7. En-Neyah Y. 9. Harvey T. (C) 11. Johnson-Fisher D. 29. Kite H. 20. Law R. 12. Oxlade-Chamberlain C. 6. Sanders S.	1. Whatmuff O. (G) 14. Adebayo-Rowling T. 7. Allarakhia T. 18. Barlow A. 33. Beckwith S. 9. Dieseruvwe E. 4. East R. 6. Ebanks-Landell E. (C) 8. Gilmour H. 2. Gordon K. 10. Rodney D.
Substitutes
14. Hasani L. 15. Jephcott L. 21. Kinsey M. 1. Lavercombe D. (G) 3. Riley-Lowe C. 17. Sanogo S. 23. Starkie B.	12. Amantchi L. 3. Berkoe K. 27. Humbles L. 11. Mancini A. 21. McBride C. 22. Moss D. 16. Pettit C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Gordon K. ⚽,
14', Sanders S. 🟨,
26', Gordon K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Barlow A. ↓, McBride C. ↑,
65', Donnellan S. 🟨,
69', En-Neyah Y. ↓, Hasani L. ↑,
73', Rodney D. ↓, Mancini A. ↑,
73', Allarakhia T. ↓, Berkoe K. ↑,
76', Dieseruvwe E. 🟨,
80', Bell Z. ↓, Starkie B. ↑,
84', East R. ↓, Pettit C. ↑,
84', Adebayo-Rowling T. ↓, Moss D. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Truro has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Rochdale is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Truro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Rochdale is the team to beat.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Rochdale - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 50.94%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Truro City
English National League
06.09.25	Carlisle United - Truro City	3:0 ✺
03.09.25	Truro City - Aldershot Town	2:2 ✺
30.08.25	Truro City - Boston United	3:0 ✺
25.08.25	Boreham Wood - Truro City	2:1 ✺
23.08.25	Truro City - Southend United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LTWLL
- Rochdale AFC
English National League
06.09.25	Rochdale - Braintree Town	2:0 ✺
30.08.25	Wealdstone - Rochdale	1:3 ✺
25.08.25	Rochdale - Sutton United	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Brackley Town - Rochdale	2:1 ✺
20.08.25	Rochdale - Gateshead	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWLW

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