Match Info

National League - Round 5

Date: 25 August 2025, Monday

Location: Spotland Stadium (Rochdale)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Rochdale		Sutton United

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.8	4.75
	1.43	4.4	5.25
	1.65	3.9	4.65
	1.42	4.88	6.71
	1.54	4.08	5.58	Watch
	1.67	3.75	4.6
	1.64	3.85	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.75)	4.09 ↑ (3.5)	5.18 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rochdale
59.3%

Draw
22.7%

Sutton United
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

26.1%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

24.9%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rochdale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rochdale's performance.

Sutton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	15.4%	0%

Rochdale - Sutton United Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Rochdale (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Rochdale (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Rochdale will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Rochdale (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Whatmuff O. (G) 14. Adebayo-Rowling T. 18. Barlow A. 33. Beckwith S. 9. Dieseruvwe E. 4. East R. 6. Ebanks-Landell E. (C) 8. Gilmour H. 2. Gordon K. 17. Pritchard J. 10. Rodney D.	1. Sims J. (G) 19. Crichlow K. 22. Dabre M. 26. Eccleston J. 10. Nadesan A. 5. Phipps H. (C) 14. Pruti E. 8. Simper L. 16. Taylor J. 20. Wadham J. 7. White J.
Substitutes
7. Allarakhia T. 12. Amantchi L. 11. Mancini A. 21. McBride C. 22. Moss D. 16. Pettit C. 3. Tutonda D.	21. Aziaya D. (G) 11. De Silva D. 23. Harris J. J. 17. Jones A. 34. Njoku B. 6. Odelusi S. 18. Ogbonna D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Barlow A. ↓, McBride C. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Dabre M. ↓, Harris J. J. ↑,
52', 1 - 0, Dieseruvwe E. ⚽, Gilmour H. (A),
58', White J. ↓, Ogbonna D. ↑,
61', Crichlow K. ↓, Njoku B. ↑,
62', Gilmour H. 🟨,
73', Pritchard J. ↓, Allarakhia T. ↑,
86', East R. ↓, Pettit C. ↑,
87', Rodney D. ↓, Moss D. ↑,
87', Eccleston J. ↓, De Silva D. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rochdale won 2.

Rochdale is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sutton has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Rochdale is considered a favorite.

We predict that Rochdale will win today's game, with odds of 1.71.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Rochdale won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Rochdale won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rochdale AFC
English National League
23.08.25	Brackley Town - Rochdale	2:1 ✺
20.08.25	Rochdale - Gateshead	4:0 ✺
16.08.25	Rochdale - Altrincham	2:1 ✺
English National League Cup
13.08.25	Rochdale - Burnley U21	2:1 ✺
English National League
09.08.25	Boreham Wood - Rochdale	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWWWW
- Sutton United
English National League
23.08.25	Sutton United - Scunthorpe United	2:3 ✺
20.08.25	Forest Green Rovers - Sutton United	4:0 ✺
16.08.25	Sutton United - Solihull Moors	0:0 ✺
English National League Cup
12.08.25	Sutton United - Fulham U21	0:7 ✺
English National League
09.08.25	York City - Sutton United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
08.04.25	Sutton United - Rochdale	1:0
09.11.24	Rochdale - Sutton United	2:1
English League Two
29.04.23	Rochdale - Sutton United	4:1
19.11.22	Sutton United - Rochdale	1:0
05.03.22	Sutton United - Rochdale	3:0
23.10.21	Rochdale - Sutton United	3:2

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