The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Swindon Town 43.4%
Draw 27%
Accrington Stanley 29.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.3%
25.5%
30.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.9%
25.2%
29.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
Accrington Stanley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
81.8%
9.1%
9.1%
Swindon Town - Accrington Stanley Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Swindon Town will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%). Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ripley C. (G) 6. Ball J. 5. Negru S. 21. Majekodunmi K. 26. Butler D. 27. Munda A. 25. Thomson J. 8. Clarke O. (C) 9. Glatzel P. 23. Drinan A. 15. Hungbo J.
1. Moulden L. (G) 2. Love D. 17. Matthews D. 22. Anderson J. 33. Tutonda D. 38. O'Brien C. 28. Conneely S. (C) 6. Coyle L. 14. Mols S. 39. Woods J. 23. Walton T.
Substitutes
14. Butterworth D. 18. Debayo J. 29. Hackford A. 34. Kirkman B. 7. Nichols T. 24. Virtue M. 12. Ward L. (G)
20. Brown C. 27. Catesby J. 10. Henderson A. 21. Rogerson J. (G) 25. Smith J. 13. Stockton C. 30. Warren C.
Coaches
Holloway I.
Doolan J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Woods J. ⚽, Mols S. (A),
31', 1 - 1, Hungbo J. ⚽, Butler D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Coyle L. ↓, Henderson A. ↑,
51', Majekodunmi K. 🟨,
66', Woods J. 🟨,
67', Clarke O. ↓, Virtue M. ↑,
67', Glatzel P. ↓, Hackford A. ↑,
68', Hungbo J. ↓, Butterworth D. ↑,
68', Walton T. ↓, Stockton C. ↑,
68', Mols S. ↓, Warren C. ↑,
71', Ball J. ↓, Debayo J. ↑,
80', Butler D. ↓, Kirkman B. ↑,
83', Woods J. ↓, Catesby J. ↑,
Preview
Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 13th and 21st).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 0.
Swindon is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Accrington has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Accrington could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Accrington has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Swindon is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Confirmed absences for Swindon: Holman F.
(Inactive)
Kilkenny G.
(Inactive)
McGregor J.
(Injury)
Middlemas B.
(Inactive)
Palmer O.
(Inactive)
Smith H.
(Knee Injury)
Snowdon J.
(Inactive).
Confirmed absences for Accrington: Mooney K.
(Knee Injury)
Sinclair I.
(Inactive).
Doubtful / questionable for Swindon: Millard L.
(Injury)
Tafazolli R.
(Inactive).
Doubtful / questionable for Accrington: Moore T.
(Inactive).
In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Swindon has recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:23 (averaging 1.3:1.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Swindon against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 6:7 goals (averaging 1:1.2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
15
Accrington
10
2
5
3
13:14
-1
11
17
Swindon
10
3
2
5
9:14
-5
11
Last Results with these Odds
Swindon Town - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 44.26%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Accrington Stanley - the odds 3.07 are the expected chance of winning is 30.28%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
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Ripley C. (G) 
Negru S. 
Majekodunmi K. 
Thomson J. 
Glatzel P. 
Drinan A. 
Tutonda D. 
Coyle L. 
Mols S. 
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