Match Info

League Two - Round 6

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: York Community Stadium (York)

Referee: Drysdale D. (Eng)


	York City		Swindon Town

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.10	5.00	Watch
	1.58	4.33	4.80
	1.55	4.00	4.75	Watch
	1.61	4.44	4.95
	1.59	4.53	4.58	Watch
	1.59	4.35	4.85
	1.59	4.14	5.05	Watch
	1.58	4.20	4.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.79)	4.26 ↑ (3.72)	4.84 ↑ (4.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

York City
58.9%

Draw
21.8%

Swindon Town
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

25%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

24.9%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in York City's performance.

Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for York City than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with York City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

York City - Swindon Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. York will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Swindon will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. McNally A. (G) 2. Fallowfield R. (C) 5. Johnson Z. 3. Kitching M. 15. King J. 8. Hunt A. 28. Banks O. 12. Boyes H. 7. Grey J. 30. Newby A. 10. Pearce O.	1. Ripley C. (G) 2. Clark M. 5. Negru S. 21. Majekodunmi K. 26. Butler D. 27. Munda A. 25. Thomson J. 20. Middlemas B. 19. Snowdon J. 23. Drinan A. (C) 34. Kirkman B.
Substitutes
23. Felix J. 17. Hewitt C. 32. Hunt J. 18. Malcolm J. 4. Medley Z. 16. Read A. 31. Sykes-Kenworthy G. (G)	6. Ball J. 14. Butterworth D. 9. Glatzel P. 29. Hackford A. 15. Hungbo J. 16. Inwood S. 12. Ward L. (G)
Coaches
Lindsey S.	Holloway I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Newby A. ⚽,
24', 2 - 0, Banks O. ⚽, King J. (A),
38', Kirkman B. ↓, Hungbo J. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Middlemas B. ↓, Glatzel P. ↑,
60', Snowdon J. ↓, Hackford A. ↑,
67', Clark M. 🟥,
69', Holloway I. 🟨,
69', Kitching M. 🟨,
72', 3 - 0, Newby A. ⚽, Pearce O. (A),
74', King J. ↓, Felix J. ↑,
74', Hunt A. ↓, Read A. ↑,
74', Fallowfield R. ↓, Hunt J. ↑,
74', Newby A. ↓, Malcolm J. ↑,
77', Munda A. ↓, Ball J. ↑,
78', Drinan A. ↓, Butterworth D. ↑,
82', 4 - 0, Pearce O. ⚽, Felix J. (A),
86', Boyes H. ↓, Hewitt C. ↑,
87', Butterworth D. 🟨,

Preview

Recent performances by York have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Swindon is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, York is considered a favorite.

There will not play in York: Boateng H. (Inactive) Maguire F. (Inactive) Palmer A. (Inactive)

There will not play in Swindon: Glatzel P. (Inactive) Holman F. (Inactive) Inwood S. (Injury) Virtue M. (Inactive)

There are questionable in York: Akinyemi D. (Inactive) Hunt J. (Inactive) Johnson Z. (Injury) Stones J. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Swindon: Tafazolli R. (Inactive)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, York won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	York City	9	4	3	2	17:11	6	15
17	Swindon	10	3	2	5	9:14	-5	11

Last Results with these Odds

York City - the odds 1.79 are the expected chance of winning is 51.91%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- York City
English League Two
05.09.26	Crewe Alexandra - York City	1:1 ✺
01.09.26	Cheltenham Town - York City	3:2 ✺
29.08.26	York City - Exeter City	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Rotherham United - York City	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	York City - Bristol Rovers	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TLWTW
- Swindon Town
English League Two
05.09.26	Swindon Town - Colchester United	3:1 ✺
01.09.26	Swindon Town - Port Vale	3:1 ✺
29.08.26	Oldham Athletic - Swindon Town	3:0 ✺
22.08.26	Swindon Town - Cheltenham Town	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Northampton Town - Swindon Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
10.11.18	Swindon Town - York City	2:1

Upcoming Matches