Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 4

Date: 28 August 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Parkstad Limburg Stadion (Kerkrade) 🌤️ ...

Referee: van den Kerkhof M. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Usa	14:00	SportsEngine Play


	Roda		NAC Breda

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.5	2.05	Watch
	2.90	3.40	2.15
	3.2	3.4	2.12	Watch
	3.05	3.61	2.25
	3.05	3.62	2.17	Watch
	3.15	3.55	2.13
	3.42	3.5	2.03	Watch
	3.05	3.35	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↑ (2.88)	3.49 ↓ (3.75)	2.13 ↓ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roda
29.7%

Draw
26.6%

NAC Breda
43.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.4%

24.9%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

24.3%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

NAC Breda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roda than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for NAC Breda than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Roda - NAC Breda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Treichel J. (G) 3. Tol M. 11. Dorenbosch D. 15. Beerten L. 14. van den Berg X. 6. Paulissen M. 24. Deom J. 5. Jansen K. 8. Mensah J. 4. Nisbet J. 9. van den Hurk A. (C)	1. Verrips M. (G) 25. Valerius C. 4. Greiml L. 12. Van den Bergh J. 22. Hillen R. 78. Van Hecke J. 8. Jensen F. 6. Balard M. 10. Nassoh M. (C) 7. Brym C. 9. Soumano M.
Substitutes
20. Bentoumi M. 19. Crabu N. 22. Kruiver J. 32. Maoujoudi N. 25. Marsman B. 10. Schenten F. 26. Sleegers J. 21. Stojcevic M. (G) 28. van Damme J. (G) 33. Van den Buijs D. 27. Van Mieghem K.	35. Brouwers M. 55. Ghalidi B. 19. Gladon P. 23. Kortsmit R. (G) 31. Lamprou K. (G) 2. Lucassen B. 34. Nazih I. 11. Paula R. 26. Reulen P. 20. Seuntjens M. 32. van Aarst R.
Coaches
Penders R.	Hoefkens C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
33', 1 - 0, Tol M. ⚽, Paulissen M. (A),
40', 1 - 1, Soumano M. ⚽, Van Hecke J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', Verrips M. 🟨,
54', 2 - 1, van den Hurk A. (Penalty Awarded),
55', Brym C. ↓, Seuntjens M. ↑,
56', Valerius C. ↓, Lucassen B. ↑,
56', Soumano M. ↓, Gladon P. ↑,
60', Deom J. ↓, Sleegers J. ↑,
60', Paulissen M. ↓, Van den Buijs D. ↑,
63', Seuntjens M. 🟨,
69', Balard M. ↓, Ghalidi B. ↑,
71', van den Berg X. ↓, Kruiver J. ↑,
75', van den Hurk A. 🟨,
79', 2 - 2, Gladon P. ⚽,
84', Van Hecke J. ↓, Reulen P. ↑,
84', Mensah J. ↓, Marsman B. ↑,
84', van den Hurk A. ↓, Schenten F. ↑,
85', Gladon P. 🟨,
90+3', Ghalidi B. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Roda won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There are questionable in Roda: Khaldi Z. (Illness) Schenten F. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Breda: Goos T. (Shoulder Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Roda won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 29:44. (average 1.5:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Roda won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:20. (average 1.3:2).

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Roda	12	6	4	2	15:11	4	22
6	NAC Breda	12	6	3	3	23:20	3	21

Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now

NAC Breda: 15.65% Roda: 5.22%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roda JC
Dutch Eerste Divisie
21.08.26	Dordrecht - Roda	0:1 ✺
14.08.26	Roda - Helmond Sport	2:1 ✺
07.08.26	Emmen - Roda	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Roda - Alemannia Aachen	2:4 ✺
10.07.26	Cambuur - Roda	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWLLL
- NAC Breda
Dutch Eerste Divisie
22.08.26	NAC Breda - Jong Ajax	3:2 ✺
14.08.26	NAC Breda - VVV-Venlo	0:2 ✺
07.08.26	FC Oss - NAC Breda	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Bolton Wanderers - NAC Breda	1:0 ✺
28.07.26	NAC Breda - OFI	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
17.05.24	Roda - NAC Breda	0:5
13.05.24	NAC Breda - Roda	3:1
23.03.24	Roda - NAC Breda	3:1
09.09.23	NAC Breda - Roda	1:2
29.04.23	NAC Breda - Roda	4:2
26.08.22	Roda - NAC Breda	1:3
04.02.22	NAC Breda - Roda	2:2

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