Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 4

Date: 26 August 2023, Saturday

Location: Stade Paul-Lignon (Rodez)

Referee: Paradis G. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Rodez		Valenciennes

	1	X	2
	2	3.25	4	Watch
	2	2.95	4.1
	2.03	3.15	4.45
	1.91	3.1	3.6
	2.01	3.24	3.98	Watch
	2	3.15	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.79)	3.14 ↓ (3.49)	4.01 ↓ (4.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rodez
46.9%

Draw
29.8%

Valenciennes
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

26.5%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

26%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rodez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Valenciennes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodez than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rodez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valenciennes than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Rodez - Valenciennes Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Rodez will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Valenciennes will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Mpasi L. (G) 14. Danger B. (C) 15. Raux Yao S. 21. Chougrani J. 6. Ngouyamsa Nounchil A. T. 7. Younoussa W. 18. Valerio A. 10. Taibi W. 28. Abdallah A. 17. Hountondji A. 12. Corredor K.	16. Louchet J. (G) 24. Linguet A. 39. Buatu J. 5. Poha J. 4. Moore T. 15. Woudenberg L. 17. Boutoutaou A. 23. Kruse D. 6. Masson J. (C) 11. Bonnet U. 20. Hamache I.
Substitutes
22. Arconte T. 19. Buades L. 1. Cibois S. (G) 24. Haag G. 3. Lipinski R. 4. Mambo Muzalijoma S. 26. Verdier Y.	7. Boudraa S. 14. Cuffaut J. 30. Diabate L. (G) 47. Diagouraga T. 44. Kayi Sanda J. 9. Noubissi M. 10. Venema N.
Coaches
Santini D.	Maciel J.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rodez won 2.

Recent matches Rodez is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Valenciennes is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Rodez is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Rodez won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Rodez won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rodez AF
French Ligue 2
19.08.23	Laval - Rodez	1:0 ✺
12.08.23	Rodez - Saint-Étienne	2:1 ✺
05.08.23	Ajaccio - Rodez	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
22.07.23	Pau - Rodez	0:1 ✺
19.07.23	Rodez - Martigues	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 LWTWT
- Valenciennes FC
French Ligue 2
19.08.23	Valenciennes - Guingamp	0:0 ✺
12.08.23	Bastia - Valenciennes	3:0 ✺
05.08.23	Valenciennes - Auxerre	1:4 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.23	Dunkerque - Valenciennes	2:2 ✺
26.07.23	Deinze - Valenciennes	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLLTT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
18.02.23	Valenciennes - Rodez	0:0
10.09.22	Rodez - Valenciennes	1:1
05.02.22	Rodez - Valenciennes	0:0
21.08.21	Valenciennes - Rodez	1:4
13.03.21	Rodez - Valenciennes	3:0
21.11.20	Valenciennes - Rodez	1:1
31.01.20	Rodez - Valenciennes	1:1

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