Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 18

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Nouste Camp (Pau)

Referee: Lesage M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free


	Pau		Rodez

	1	X	2
	2	3.6	3.2	Watch
	2.1	3.6	3.1
	2.05	3.6	3.2
	2.05	3.73	3.24	Watch
	2.1	3.4	3.2
	2.11	3.54	3.22	Watch
	2.05	3.6	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.12)	3.58 ↑ (3.54)	3.2 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pau
45%

Draw
26%

Rodez
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

26.4%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

26.7%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Rodez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pau than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodez than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	8.3%	8.3%

Pau - Rodez Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Pau (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Rodez (2.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Pau will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Pau (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Rodez (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Raveyre N. (G) 2. Pouilly T. 97. Meddah D. 25. Ruiz J. 3. Kalulu J. 21. Beusnard S. 14. Bobichon A. 84. Touzghar R. 10. Versini G. 23. Kante 18. Sadik O.	1. Braat Q. (G) 25. Galves N. 5. Jolibois C. 4. Magnin M. 3. Lipinski R. 15. Jean-Lambert E. 8. Younoussa W. 6. Mendes J. 26. Benchamma S. 18. Balde I. 11. Arconte T.
Substitutes
9. Dong K. 6. Fall C. 26. Glossoa N. 4. Karamoko S. 34. Lebouath S. 7. Messi R. 40. Paradowski T. (G) 87. Zuliani E.	10. Baaloudj M. 13. Issanchou Roubiou C. 22. Joly O. 24. Laurent L. 16. Margueron L. (G) 9. Nagera K. 28. Saka M.
Coaches
Usai N.	Santini D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
4', 1 - 0, Bobichon A. (Penalty Awarded),
5', 1 - 1, Benchamma S. ⚽, Galves N. (A),
21', 2 - 1, Bobichon A. ⚽, Sadik O. (A),
23', 2 - 2, Balde I. ⚽, Jean-Lambert E. (A),
29', Lipinski R. 🟨,
31', Kante 🟨,
41', Magnin M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', Sadik O. (Penalty Awarded),
56', Kante ↓, Karamoko S. ↑,
59', 3 - 2, Versini G. ⚽, Bobichon A. (A),
64', Younoussa W. ↓, Joly O. ↑,
73', Beusnard S. 🟨,
76', Pouilly T. ↓, Glossoa N. ↑,
76', Sadik O. ↓, Dong K. ↑,
76', Versini G. ↓, Messi R. ↑,
81', Benchamma S. ↓, Nagera K. ↑,
81', Jean-Lambert E. ↓, Laurent L. ↑,
81', Bobichon A. ↓, Fall C. ↑,
86', 3 - 3, Jolibois C. ⚽, Galves N. (A),
89', Arconte T. ↓, Saka M. ↑,
89', Balde I. ↓, Baaloudj M. ↑,
90+5', Baaloudj M. 🟥,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pau won 3.

Recent form of Pau has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Rodez's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Pau is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Pau: Gasnier K. (Inactive) Gaspar J. (Inactive) Salles E. (Inactive) Sissoko O. (Inactive)

There will not play in Rodez: Achi M. (Inactive) Baaloudj M. (Inactive) Tebily H. (Leg Injury) Trouillet A. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pau won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 27:32. (average 1.4:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Pau won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 1.2:1.9).

Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now

Rodez: 1.16%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Pau FC	7	2	2	3	6:6	0	8
14	Rodez	7	2	1	4	14:16	-2	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pau FC
French Ligue 2
12.12.25	Pau - Amiens	1:2 ✺
06.12.25	Montpellier - Pau	0:1 ✺
Coupe De France
29.11.25	SA Mérignac - Pau	1:0 ✺
French Ligue 2
21.11.25	Pau - Le Mans	1:2 ✺
08.11.25	Guingamp - Pau	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWLLT
- Rodez AF
French Ligue 2
12.12.25	Rodez - Guingamp	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Troyes - Rodez	1:1 ✺
Coupe De France
29.11.25	Canet Roussillon - Rodez	1:0 ✺
French Ligue 2
21.11.25	Rodez - Dunkerque	1:1 ✺
Coupe De France
15.11.25	Lavaur - Rodez	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
26.09.25	Rodez - Pau	1:2
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Rodez - Pau	2:4
French Ligue 2
14.02.25	Pau - Rodez	0:5
06.12.24	Rodez - Pau	1:0
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Rodez - Pau	1:4
French Ligue 2
13.01.24	Rodez - Pau	2:1
02.09.23	Pau - Rodez	2:2

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