Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - Round 28

Date: 19 April 2024, Friday

Location: Spartakovets imeni N.P. Starostina (Moscow)

Referee: Mashlyakevich A. (Rus)


	Rodina Moscow		Khimki

	1	X	2
	2.21	3.31	3.21
	2.22	3.31	3.21
	2.24	3.28	3.19	Watch
	2.22	3.3	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.04)	3.3 ↑ (3.2)	3.13 ↓ (3.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rodina Moscow
41.9%

Draw
28.2%

Khimki
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

29.2%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

28.9%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rodina Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Khimki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodina Moscow than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Khimki than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Koryakin A. (G) 78. Bakaev S. 6. Fishchenko R. 72. Gordyushenko A. 24. Kleshchenko A. (C) 55. Krizan M. 25. Kulikov D. 90. Orinho 18. Tananeev D. 99. Timoshenko I. 7. Yushin A.	1. Mitryushkin A. (G) 17. Berkovskiy I. 2. Golubovic P. 4. Isaenko O. 80. Khosonov K. (C) 97. Magomedov B. 9. Rudenko A. 67. Varatynov S. 23. Volkov Z. 77. Yuzepchuk R. 27. Zhuravlev Y.
Substitutes
1. Aydarov S. (G) 95. Chernyshev D. 34. Dmitriev O. 9. Kalmykov A. 15. Kochiev K. 11. Kuznetsov D. 2. Marcinho 26. Meshchaninov A. 31. Shakerov R. (G) 88. Sokol A. 22. Sultonov M. 33. Wesley Nata	10. Abdullahi S. K. 31. Kasimov T. 11. Koryan A. 32. Kulishev A. 19. Larin A. 6. Melentijevic S. 52. Netfullin R. 96. Obukhov I. (G) 8. Panchenko K. 22. Skvortsov L. 5. Stepanov D.
Coaches
Artiga F.	Talalaev A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
9', Yushin A. 🟨,
10', Tananeev D. 🟨,
19', 0 - 1, Rudenko A. ⚽,
31', 1 - 1, Bakaev S. ⚽,
34', Gordyushenko A. 🟨,
36', 1 - 2, Berkovskiy I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Timoshenko I. ↓, Kalmykov A. ↑,
62', Magomedov B. ↓, Abdullahi S. K. ↑,
62', Berkovskiy I. ↓, Kasimov T. ↑,
70', Krizan M. ↓, Sokol A. ↑,
70', Kulikov D. ↓, Dmitriev O. ↑,
78', Khosonov K. 🟨,
81', Rudenko A. 🟨,
82', Yushin A. ↓, Kuznetsov D. ↑,
84', Rudenko A. ↓, Skvortsov L. ↑,
88', Kleshchenko A. 🟨,
90', Sokol A. 🟨,
90+2', Fishchenko R. 🟨,

Preview

Rodina is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Khimki is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently opponents have a series of home games.

Rodina will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Rodina won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rodina Moscow
Russian FNL
14.04.24	Rodina Moscow - Leningradets	2:0 ✺
07.04.24	Sokol Saratov - Rodina Moscow	1:1 ✺
30.03.24	Rodina Moscow - Volgar Astrakhan	3:0 ✺
18.03.24	Rodina Moscow - Kuban Krasnodar	1:0 ✺
Russian Cup
13.03.24	Rodina Moscow - Ural	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WTWWL
- FC Khimki
Russian FNL
13.04.24	Khimki - Shinnik	0:1 ✺
08.04.24	Khimki - Arsenal Tula	3:2 ✺
Russian Cup
02.04.24	Khimki - Rostov	0:1 penalties ✺
Russian FNL
30.03.24	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Khimki	4:1 ✺
18.03.24	Khimki - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
12.08.23	Khimki - Rodina Moscow	2:0
Russian FNL Cup
14.02.20	Khimki - Rodina Moscow	2:1

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