Match Info

FNL - Round 20

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion Shinnik (Yaroslavl)

Referee: Anopa A. (Rus)


	Shinnik		Sokol Saratov

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.14	4.42
	2.08	3.09	4.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.28)	3.12 ↑ (3.01)	4.26 ↑ (3.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shinnik
47.4%

Draw
30.4%

Sokol Saratov
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

31.8%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

31.4%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shinnik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shinnik's performance.

Sokol Saratov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shinnik than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sokol Saratov than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Shinnik - Sokol Saratov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
51. Mitrov T. (G) 5. Malyarov K. 55. Lystsov V. 44. Kornyushin D. 4. Bozov N. 8. Kul R. 50. Golubev A. 61. Malakhov A. 10. Shipunov T. 15. Samoilov D. 9. Stefanovich I.	1. Kraykov T. (G) 5. Kovacevic V. 6. Pechenkin N. 33. Gloydman N. 19. Butaev A. 17. Mukhin A. 21. Nikitin K. 27. Egorushkin A. 18. Lazarev V. 11. Golijanin A. 9. Shpitalnyi V.
Substitutes
27. Chernyi A. 77. Gongapshev A. 1. Ismagilov A. (G) 53. Kotin N. 64. Lanin O. 88. Mironov D. 18. Miroshnichenko N. 23. Nafikov V. 11. Porokhov I. 6. Rukas A. 92. Shchelkunov T. 95. Vambolt D. (G)	70. Daurov R. 64. Dolya A. 69. Ermolin R. 10. Gribov S. 92. Kostin V. 36. Levashov M. (G) 42. Shaykhtdinov D. 51. Sinyak A.
Coaches
Buloychik A.	Kascelan M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Shpitalnyi V. 🟨,
26', Lazarev V. 🟨,
30', Malyarov K. 🟨,
36', Egorushkin A. 🟨,
44', Golijanin A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Shipunov T. 🟨,
54', Egorushkin A. ↓, Shaykhtdinov D. ↑,
54', Nikitin K. ↓, Ermolin R. ↑,
67', Mukhin A. ↓, Daurov R. ↑,
71', Samoilov D. ↓, Gongapshev A. ↑,
73', Malakhov A. ↓, Chernyi A. ↑,
79', Chernyi A. ↓, Kotin N. ↑,
79', Shipunov T. ↓, Lanin O. ↑,
87', Golubev A. 🟨,
89', Golijanin A. ↓, Kostin V. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shinnik won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Shinnik is seen as the favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Shinnik won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Shinnik won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Shinnik - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 41.92%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Sokol Saratov - the odds 3.63 are the expected chance of winning is 26.33%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shinnik Yaroslavl
Russian FNL
16.11.25	Shinnik - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	4:1 ✺
09.11.25	Rotor - Shinnik	3:0 ✺
01.11.25	Shinnik - Chelyabinsk	1:0 ✺
25.10.25	Shinnik - Spartak Kostroma	2:2 ✺
20.10.25	Torpedo Moscow - Shinnik	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLWTT
- Sokol Saratov
Russian FNL
16.11.25	Sokol Saratov - Fakel	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Torpedo Moscow - Sokol Saratov	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Ural - Sokol Saratov	2:0 ✺
25.10.25	Sokol Saratov - Volga Ulyanovsk	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	SKA Khabarovsk - Sokol Saratov	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
14.09.25	Sokol Saratov - Shinnik	0:0
18.05.25	Shinnik - Sokol Saratov	0:4
01.09.24	Sokol Saratov - Shinnik	0:0
28.04.24	Shinnik - Sokol Saratov	1:0
23.07.23	Sokol Saratov - Shinnik	3:2
23.04.17	Shinnik - Sokol Saratov	1:0
02.10.16	Sokol Saratov - Shinnik	2:2

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