Match Info

FNL - Round 27

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Spartakovets imeni N.P. Starostina (Moscow)

Referee: Frolov A. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Russia	Match TV


	Rodina Moscow		Sochi

	1	X	2
	3	2.92	2.6	Watch
	2.9	2.85	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↓ (3.73)	2.89 ↓ (3.16)	2.54 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Rodina Moscow
31.4%

Draw
32.1%

Sochi
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.3%

29.8%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8%

30.4%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rodina Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rodina Moscow's performance.

Sochi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sochi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rodina Moscow than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rodina Moscow that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochi than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sochi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rodina Moscow - Sochi Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Koryakin A. (G) 6. Fishchenko R. 72. Gordyushenko A. 7. Gueye P. 77. Koryan A. 55. Krizan M. 52. Kuzmichev I. 9. Maksimenko A. 10. Reyna Y. 68. Ryadno M. 88. Sokol A.	35. Degtev A. (G) 24. Aberdin N. 14. Kravtsov K. 4. Litvinov V. 5. Maslov P. 11. Meleshin P. 97. Pasevich R. 77. Pisarskiy V. 21. Saavedra I. 13. Terekhov S. 27. Zaika K.
Substitutes
82. Alekhin A. 1. Aydarov S. (G) 91. Barinov D. (G) 14. Barisic M. 30. Danilin M. 20. Kontsevoy A. 12. Markitesov D. 17. Shadrintsev D. 79. Svintsov D. 99. Timoshenko I. 21. Yudintsev G.	59. Bart R. 18. Burmistrov N. 8. Kaynov M. 22. Kozhemyakin O. 10. Kramaric M. 29. Nikitin K. 1. Rudakov M. (G) 55. Stojsavljevic L. 15. Suslov K. 12. Zabolotnyi N. (G)
Coaches
Zeljkovic Z.	Moreno R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Maksimenko A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
56', 2 - 0, Gueye P. ⚽,
60', Maslov P. 🟨,
62', Pisarskiy V. ↓, Kramaric M. ↑,
63', Zaika K. ↓, Burmistrov N. ↑,
63', Gordyushenko A. ↓, Barisic M. ↑,
68', Koryan A. ↓, Kontsevoy A. ↑,
72', 2 - 1, Meleshin P. (Pen),
72', Pasevich R. ↓, Nikitin K. ↑,
82', Kravtsov K. ↓, Kaynov M. ↑,
82', Meleshin P. ↓, Bart R. ↑,
83', Gueye P. ↓, Timoshenko I. ↑,
90+5', 3 - 1, Kontsevoy A. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )).

Recent matches Rodina is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sochi is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Rodina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Sochi have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Rodina won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rodina Moscow
Russian FNL
30.03.25	Rotor - Rodina Moscow	0:1 ✺
22.03.25	Torpedo Moscow - Rodina Moscow	0:0 ✺
16.03.25	Rodina Moscow - Alania Vladikavkaz	4:0 ✺
08.03.25	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Rodina Moscow	0:0 ✺
02.03.25	Rodina Moscow - Tyumen	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WTWTL
- FC Sochi
Russian FNL
31.03.25	Sochi - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	2:1 ✺
23.03.25	Sochi - Shinnik	1:2 ✺
16.03.25	SKA Khabarovsk - Sochi	0:1 ✺
09.03.25	Sochi - Ural	1:0 ✺
03.03.25	Sochi - Sokol Saratov	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
19.10.24	Sochi - Rodina Moscow	1:0

Upcoming Matches