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Current Win Probability
Ural 55.2%
Draw 25.4%
Arsenal Tula 19.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.4%
25.3%
19.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.6%
24.3%
18.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ural has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
Arsenal Tula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ural than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Tula than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Ural - Arsenal Tula Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
86. Kuznetsov I. (G) 34. Margasov T. 4. Bardachev M. 2. Begic S. (C) 59. Kharin E. 21. Ivanisenia D. 6. Sungatulin F. 14. Zheleznov Y. 10. Sekulic M. 97. Ishkov I. 13. Akbashev R.
18. Tsulaya M. (G) 4. Penchikov D. 45. Karmaev N. 31. Bolshakov K. (C) 8. Popov A. 99. Guliev A. 5. Putsko A. 21. Razdorskikh N. 22. Tsaraev A. 10. Gorbunov I. 9. Maksimov M.
Substitutes
90. Arabachyan T. 19. Bogomolskiy E. 37. Bondarev V. 24. Filipenko E. 11. Karapuzov V. 44. Malkevich V. 46. Mamin A. 20. Markov E. 18. Morozov N. 9. Mosin E. 1. Oparin M. (G) 57. Selikhov A. (G)
17. Ahlinvi M. 24. Azyavin I. 3. Botaka-Yoboma E. 35. Kholin M. (G) 95. Obryvkov S. 25. Oleynik S. 77. Plotnikov D. 7. Reyes E. 33. Shramko D. 50. Sokolov I.
Coaches
Berezutskiy V.
Gunko D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Akbashev R. ⚽,
31', Ivanisenia D. 🟨,
45+3', Margasov T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ivanisenia D. ↓, Bondarev V. ↑,
60', Guliev A. 🟨,
63', Sekulic M. ↓, Bogomolskiy E. ↑,
63', Akbashev R. ↓, Morozov N. ↑,
70', Popov A. ↓, Reyes E. ↑,
72', Margasov T. 🟨,
74', Razdorskikh N. 🟨,
76', Gorbunov I. ↓, Azyavin I. ↑,
77', Zheleznov Y. ↓, Mamin A. ↑,
83', Bolshakov K. 🟨,
85', Penchikov D. ↓, Sokolov I. ↑,
85', Razdorskikh N. ↓, Ahlinvi M. ↑,
88', 2 - 0, Morozov N. ⚽,
90+2', Ishkov I. ↓, Markov E. ↑,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: ) and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ural won 3.
Ural has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Arsenal has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Ural may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Ural is considered a favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ural won 8 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:21. (average 1.3:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Ural won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:9. (average 1.4:0.9).
Watch
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Kuznetsov I. (G) 
Begic S. (C) 
Ivanisenia D. 
Bogomolskiy E. 
Ahlinvi M. 
Reyes E. 
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