Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 - Round 15

Date: 5 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Dynamo Stadium (Bryansk)


	Dynamo Bryansk		Rodina Moscow 3

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.4	7.06
	1.42	4.15	6.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.47)	4.28 ↑ (4.1)	6.78 ↑ (6.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dynamo Bryansk
65.3%

Draw
21.3%

Rodina Moscow 3
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

22.4%

15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.9%

21.9%

14.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dynamo Bryansk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Rodina Moscow 3 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Bryansk than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodina Moscow 3 than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Akmurzin T. (G) 10. Drogunov V. 30. Golovko D. 15. Novikov A. 4. Osokin D. 21. Rapakov I. 18. Shalaev O. 8. Sidorenko K. 22. Timakov R. 17. Volovich K. 19. Yamangulov A.	35. Tarasov R. (G) 70. Atamanskiy I. 4. Baranov P. 11. Belkovskiy M. 62. Berzegov R. 9. Burkov A. 93. Evstratov A. 23. Gaziev A. 3. Kolobov E. 71. Postnikov N. 7. Trapitsyn N.
Substitutes
12. Berliyan A. 23. Efimchuk A. 13. Ermakov A. A. (G) 5. Ermilov V. 11. Gomanyuk I. 27. Khrebtov A. Y. 32. Lopatin D. 25. Medvedev A. 20. Pikatov D.	21. Belokhonov A. 98. Bykov N. (G) 17. Pastushkov V. 90. Sharapov T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Drogunov V. ⚽,
42', Kolobov E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Kolobov E. 🟨,
63', Burkov A. ↓, Belokhonov A. ↑,
64', Trapitsyn N. ↓, Pastushkov V. ↑,
65', Timakov R. ↓, Medvedev A. ↑,
65', Golovko D. ↓, Khrebtov A. Y. ↑,
71', Gaziev A. 🟨,
76', Volovich K. ↓, Pikatov D. ↑,
76', Sidorenko K. ↓, Khrebtov A. Y. ↑,
83', 2 - 0, Khrebtov A. Y. ⚽,
85', Novikov A. 🟨,
89', Akmurzin T. 🟨,
90', Drogunov V. ↓, Gomanyuk I. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 and 9).

Dynamo Bryansk is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Rodina M has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Dynamo Bryansk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Dynamo Bryansk has had a series of away games.

In this match, Dynamo Bryansk is the obvious favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dynamo Bryansk
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
28.06.25	Ryazan - Dynamo Bryansk	1:2 ✺
15.06.25	Oryol - Dynamo Bryansk	0:0 ✺
07.06.25	Dynamo Bryansk - Kvant Obninsk	6:1 ✺
31.05.25	Strogino Moskva - Dynamo Bryansk	0:2 ✺
25.05.25	Arsenal 2 Tula - Dynamo Bryansk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WTWWL
- Rodina Moscow 3
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
28.06.25	Rodina Moscow 3 - Arsenal 2 Tula	2:1 ✺
21.06.25	Dinamo Saint Petersburg - Rodina Moscow 3	1:1 ✺
15.06.25	Rodina Moscow 3 - Metallurg Lipetsk	0:2 ✺
07.06.25	Rotor 2 - Rodina Moscow 3	1:1 ✺
31.05.25	Rodina Moscow 3 - Zenit Penza	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WTLTW

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