Match Info

WORLD: CLUB FRIENDLY

Date: 16 December 2022, Friday


	Roma		Cádiz

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.8	4.4	Watch
	1.53	4.2	5.4
	1.63	4.1	4.4
	1.63	4.06	4.44
	1.57	3.9	4.6
	1.64	4.25	4.45	Watch
	1.63	4.1	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.93)	4.06 ↑ (3.24)	4.58 ↑ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roma
57.3%

Draw
22.6%

Cádiz
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

27.9%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

25.6%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Roma's performance.

Cádiz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cádiz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roma than the current prediction. (-14.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Roma that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cádiz than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cádiz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85%	15%	0%

Roma - Cádiz Predictions

Users Predictions: Roma will win (17 of 20 users predict this - 85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.35% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Neutral location.

Recent matches Roma is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Cádiz is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Roma could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Roma is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Roma
Club Friendly
28.11.22	Roma - Yokohama F. Marinos	3:3 ✺
25.11.22	Nagoya Grampus - Roma	0:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
13.11.22	Roma - Torino	1:1 ✺
09.11.22	Sassuolo - Roma	1:1 ✺
06.11.22	Roma - Lazio	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TTTTL
- Cádiz CF
Club Friendly
14.12.22	Cádiz - Wolverhampton Wanderers	3:4 ✺
07.12.22	Cádiz - Manchester United	4:2 ✺
30.11.22	Xerez CD - Cádiz	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
13.11.22	Real Unión de Irun - Cádiz	3:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
10.11.22	Real Madrid - Cádiz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWTLL

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