Match Info

Serie A - Round 8

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore (Reggio Emilia) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Manganiello G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 3, New World Sport 2
Albania	15:00	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	11:00	Disney+
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	01:00	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	15:00	DAZN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	15:00	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	11:00	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	16:00	Max Sport 3
Canada	10:00	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	11:00	Disney+
China	22:00	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	09:00	Disney+
Croatia	15:00	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	15:00	Sport 2
Denmark	15:00	TV2 Play
Finland	16:00	MTV Katsomo+
France	15:00	DAZN France
Germany	15:00	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	16:00	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong Kong	22:00	beIN Sports 3, M Plus Live
Indonesia	21:00	Vidio
Israel	16:00	Sport 3
Italy	15:00	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	23:00	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	15:00	ART Sport 2
Kuwait	17:00	Shasha
Macao	22:00	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	22:00	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	15:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	08:00	Disney+, ESPN
Netherlands	15:00	Ziggo Sport 2
New Zealand	03:00	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	ESPN Norte
North Macedonia	15:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	15:00	VG+
Peru	09:00	Disney+
Poland	15:00	Eleven Sports 3, Polsat Sport 2
Portugal	14:00	Sport TV1
Romania	16:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
Russia	17:00	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	17:00	STC TV
Serbia	15:00	Arena Sport 1
Slovenia	15:00	Arena Sport 3
South Korea	23:00	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	15:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:00	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Switzerland	15:00	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	21:00	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Turkey	17:00	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	16:00	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	14:00	DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	11:00	Disney+
Usa	10:00	CBS Sports Network, DAZN USA, Paramount+
Venezuela	10:00	Disney+
Vietnam	21:00	ON Football


	Sassuolo		Roma

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.4	1.9	Watch
	4.25	3.45	1.88	Watch
	4.5	3.65	1.89
	4.43	3.63	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.38 ↑ (4.37)	3.53 ↓ (3.6)	1.9 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sassuolo
22%

Draw
27.3%

Roma
50.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

21.7%

26.4%

51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.5%

26.2%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sassuolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Roma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sassuolo than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
3%	11.9%	85.1%

Sassuolo - Roma Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Sassuolo (3.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Sassuolo (1.92) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Sassuolo (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Roma (2.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Roma will win (57 of 66 users predict this - 86.36%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.08% – 94.64%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Roma will win (29 of 30 users predict this - 96.67%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 35 Selected Experts predict this event. Sassuolo (votes: 4 - 11.4%). Roma (votes: 30 - 85.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 2.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
49. Muric A. (G) 6. Walukiewicz S. 21. Idzes J. 19. Romagna F. 3. Doig J. 42. Thorstvedt K. 18. Matic N. 90. Kone I. 10. Berardi D. 99. Pinamonti A. 20. Fadera A.	99. Svilar M. (G) 19. Celik Z. 23. Mancini G. 5. Ndicka E. 43. Wesley Franca 4. Cristante B. 17. Kone M. 12. Tsimikas K. 31. Bailey L. 8. El Aynaoui N. 21. Dybala P.
Substitutes
5. Cande F. 9. Cheddira W. 25. Coulibaly W. 44. Iannoni E. 45. Lauriente A. 35. Lipani L. 24. Moro L. 22. Nyarko L. (G) 26. Odenthal C. 17. Paz Y. 77. Pierini N. 13. Turati S. (G) 7. Volpato C. 40. Vranckx A. 16. Zacchi G. (G)	35. Baldanzi T. 66. Buba Aboubacar 9. Dovbyk A. 92. El Shaarawy S. 11. Ferguson E. 87. Ghilardi D. 95. Gollini P. (G) 22. Hermoso M. 7. Pellegrini Lo. 61. Pisilli N. 2. Rensch D. 18. Soule M. 32. Vasquez Llach D. S. (G) 24. Ziolkowski J.
Coaches
Grosso F.	Gasperini G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Dybala P. ⚽,
24', Mancini G. 🟨,
34', Thorstvedt K. 🟨,
38', Doig J. 🟨,
39', Romagna F. ↓, Cande F. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Tsimikas K. ↓, Hermoso M. ↑,
47', Hermoso M. 🟨,
50', Bailey L. ↓, Dovbyk A. ↑,
60', Berardi D. ↓, Volpato C. ↑,
60', Thorstvedt K. ↓, Vranckx A. ↑,
66', Cristante B. ↓, Pellegrini Lo. ↑,
66', Dybala P. ↓, Soule M. ↑,
77', Volpato C. 🟨,
81', Kone I. ↓, Lauriente A. ↑,
81', Fadera A. ↓, Cheddira W. ↑,
87', Wesley Franca ↓, Rensch D. ↑,
90', Grosso F. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sassuolo won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Sassuolo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Sassuolo has had a series of away games.

Recently, Roma has had a series of home games.

In this match, Roma is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Sassuolo: Boloca D. (Muscle Injury) Paz Y. (Calf Injury) Pieragnolo E. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Roma: Angelino (Illness) Bove E. (Heart Problems)

There are questionable in Sassuolo: Muharemovic T. (Injury)

There are questionable in Roma: Kone M. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sassuolo won 2 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 25:39. (average 1.3:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Sassuolo won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:18. (average 1.1:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Sassuolo
Italian Serie A
18.10.25	Lecce - Sassuolo	0:0 ✺
03.10.25	Verona - Sassuolo	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Sassuolo - Udinese	3:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
24.09.25	Como - Sassuolo	3:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
21.09.25	Inter Milan - Sassuolo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TWWLL
- AS Roma
UEFA Europa League
23.10.25	Roma - Viktoria Plzeň	1:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
18.10.25	Roma - Inter Milan	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Fiorentina - Roma	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
02.10.25	Roma - Lille	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
28.09.25	Roma - Verona	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
17.03.24	Roma - Sassuolo	1:0
03.12.23	Sassuolo - Roma	1:2
12.03.23	Roma - Sassuolo	3:4
09.11.22	Sassuolo - Roma	1:1
13.02.22	Sassuolo - Roma	2:2
12.09.21	Roma - Sassuolo	2:1
03.04.21	Sassuolo - Roma	2:2

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