Match Info

Serie A - Round 8

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore (Reggio Emilia)

Referee: Manganiello G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Vietnam	ON Football


	Sassuolo		Roma

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.4	1.9	Watch
	4.25	3.45	1.88	Watch
	4.5	3.65	1.89
	4.43	3.63	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.38 ↑ (4.37)	3.53 ↓ (3.6)	1.9 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sassuolo
22%

Draw
27.3%

Roma
50.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.7%

26.4%

51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.5%

26.2%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sassuolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Roma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sassuolo than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
3%	11.9%	85.1%

Sassuolo - Roma Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Sassuolo (3.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Sassuolo (1.92) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Sassuolo (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Roma (2.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Roma will win (57 of 66 users predict this - 86.36%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.08% – 94.64%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Roma will win (29 of 30 users predict this - 96.67%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 35 Selected Experts predict this event. Sassuolo (votes: 4 - 11.4%). Roma (votes: 30 - 85.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 2.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
49. Muric A. (G) 6. Walukiewicz S. 21. Idzes J. 19. Romagna F. 3. Doig J. 42. Thorstvedt K. 18. Matic N. 90. Kone I. 10. Berardi D. 99. Pinamonti A. 20. Fadera A.	99. Svilar M. (G) 19. Celik Z. 23. Mancini G. 5. Ndicka E. 43. Wesley Franca 4. Cristante B. 17. Kone M. 12. Tsimikas K. 31. Bailey L. 8. El Aynaoui N. 21. Dybala P.
Substitutes
5. Cande F. 9. Cheddira W. 25. Coulibaly W. 44. Iannoni E. 45. Lauriente A. 35. Lipani L. 24. Moro L. 22. Nyarko L. (G) 26. Odenthal C. 17. Paz Y. 77. Pierini N. 13. Turati S. (G) 7. Volpato C. 40. Vranckx A. 16. Zacchi G. (G)	35. Baldanzi T. 66. Buba Aboubacar 9. Dovbyk A. 92. El Shaarawy S. 11. Ferguson E. 87. Ghilardi D. 95. Gollini P. (G) 22. Hermoso M. 7. Pellegrini Lo. 61. Pisilli N. 2. Rensch D. 18. Soule M. 32. Vasquez Llach D. S. (G) 24. Ziolkowski J.
Coaches
Grosso F.	Gasperini G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Dybala P. ⚽,
24', Mancini G. 🟨,
34', Thorstvedt K. 🟨,
38', Doig J. 🟨,
39', Romagna F. ↓, Cande F. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Tsimikas K. ↓, Hermoso M. ↑,
47', Hermoso M. 🟨,
50', Bailey L. ↓, Dovbyk A. ↑,
60', Berardi D. ↓, Volpato C. ↑,
60', Thorstvedt K. ↓, Vranckx A. ↑,
66', Cristante B. ↓, Pellegrini Lo. ↑,
66', Dybala P. ↓, Soule M. ↑,
77', Volpato C. 🟨,
81', Kone I. ↓, Lauriente A. ↑,
81', Fadera A. ↓, Cheddira W. ↑,
87', Wesley Franca ↓, Rensch D. ↑,
90', Grosso F. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sassuolo won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Sassuolo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Sassuolo has had a series of away games.

Recently, Roma has had a series of home games.

In this match, Roma is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Sassuolo: Boloca D. (Muscle Injury) Paz Y. (Calf Injury) Pieragnolo E. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Roma: Angelino (Illness) Bove E. (Heart Problems)

There are questionable in Sassuolo: Muharemovic T. (Injury)

There are questionable in Roma: Kone M. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sassuolo won 2 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 25:39. (average 1.3:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Sassuolo won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:18. (average 1.1:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Sassuolo
Italian Serie A
18.10.25	Lecce - Sassuolo	0:0 ✺
03.10.25	Verona - Sassuolo	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Sassuolo - Udinese	3:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
24.09.25	Como - Sassuolo	3:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
21.09.25	Inter Milan - Sassuolo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TWWLL
- AS Roma
UEFA Europa League
23.10.25	Roma - Viktoria Plzeň	1:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
18.10.25	Roma - Inter Milan	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Fiorentina - Roma	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
02.10.25	Roma - Lille	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
28.09.25	Roma - Verona	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
17.03.24	Roma - Sassuolo	1:0
03.12.23	Sassuolo - Roma	1:2
12.03.23	Roma - Sassuolo	3:4
09.11.22	Sassuolo - Roma	1:1
13.02.22	Sassuolo - Roma	2:2
12.09.21	Roma - Sassuolo	2:1
03.04.21	Sassuolo - Roma	2:2

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