Match Info

Serie A - Round 27

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Olimpico (Rome)

Referee: Sozza S. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Angola	Z Sports 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 1
Bolivia	ESPN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada, FuboTV, TLN, VIVA
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Ecuador	ESPN
Europe	Go3 Sport 3 Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3, Cosmote Sport 4K
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Match 4
Indonesia	ANTV, Vidio
Iran	IRIB Varzesh
Israel	ONE Sport 2
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2, ART Sport 1
Kuwait	Shasha
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4, Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Norway	VG+
Paraguay	ESPN
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 2
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab
World	Starzplay Sports app


	Roma		Juventus

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.1	2.9	Watch
	2.6	3.1	2.85
	2.58	3.05	2.98	Watch
	2.65	3.09	3.07
	2.69	3.12	2.95	Watch
	2.5	2.9	2.88
	2.62	3.18	2.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↓ (2.7)	3.08 ↓ (3.23)	2.94 ↑ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roma
36.7%

Draw
31%

Juventus
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

29.4%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

29.6%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Juventus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roma than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventus than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	24.2%	12.1%

Roma - Juventus Predictions

Users Predictions: 99 users predict this event. Roma will win (votes: 63 - 63.6%). Juventus will win (votes: 12 - 12.1%). It will Tie (votes: 24 - 24.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Roma: 54.1% – 73.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 29 Selected Experts predict this event. Roma (votes: 21 - 72.4%). Juventus (votes: 2 - 6.9%). Tie (votes: 6 - 20.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Roma (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

AH -0.5 - Juventus (2.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Roma (1.42) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Roma (1.81) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

1X2, 1st Half - draw (1.99) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 36 Selected Experts predict this event. Roma (votes: 26 - 72.2%). Juventus (votes: 4 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 6 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Svilar M. (G) 19. Celik Z. 23. Mancini G. 5. Ndicka E. 2. Rensch D. 4. Cristante B. (C) 17. Kone M. 43. Wesley Franca 61. Pisilli N. 7. Pellegrini Lo. 14. Malen D.	1. Perin M. (G) 15. Kalulu P. 3. Bremer (C) 6. Kelly L. 27. Cambiaso A. 19. Thuram K. 8. Koopmeiners T. 7. Conceicao F. 22. McKennie W. 10. Yildiz K. 30. David J.
Substitutes
3. Angelino 68. Arena A. 70. De Marzi G. (G) 21. Dybala P. 8. El Aynaoui N. 92. El Shaarawy S. 87. Ghilardi D. 12. Tsimikas K. 78. Vaz R. 20. Venturino L. 97. Zaragoza B. 91. Zelezny R. (G) 24. Ziolkowski J.	17. Adzic V. 13. Boga J. 32. Cabal J. 16. Di Gregorio M. (G) 4. Gatti F. 18. Kostic F. 21. Miretti F. 20. Openda L. 23. Pinsoglio C. (G) 11. Zhegrova E.
Coaches
Gasperini G.	Spalletti L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', Wesley Franca 🟨,
39', 1 - 0, Wesley Franca ⚽, Pisilli N. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 3)
47', 1 - 1, Conceicao F. ⚽, Bremer (A),
54', 2 - 1, Ndicka E. ⚽, Pellegrini Lo. (A),
63', David J. ↓, Boga J. ↑,
65', 3 - 1, Malen D. ⚽, Kone M. (A),
72', Conceicao F. ↓, Zhegrova E. ↑,
72', Thuram K. ↓, Miretti F. ↑,
74', Cristante B. ↓, El Aynaoui N. ↑,
74', Rensch D. ↓, Ghilardi D. ↑,
78', 3 - 2, Boga J. ⚽,
88', Bremer ↓, Gatti F. ↑,
89', Cambiaso A. ↓, Openda L. ↑,
90', Pellegrini Lo. ↓, Zaragoza B. ↑,
90+3', 3 - 3, Gatti F. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Roma won 0.

Recent performances by Roma have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Juventus is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Roma may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Roma: Dovbyk A. (Groin Injury) Ferguson E. (Ankle Injury) Hermoso M. (Hip Injury) Soule M. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Juventus: Holm E. (Foot Injury) Locatelli M. (Yellow Cards) Vlahovic D. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Roma: Dybala P. (Knee Injury) El Shaarawy S. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Juventus: Milik A. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Roma won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 21:26. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Roma won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.5:1.3).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

AS Roma: 12.31% Juventus: 7.65%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	AS Roma	5	4	1	0	14:3	11	13
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	8:4	4	10

Last Results with these Odds

Juventus - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 35.45%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Roma
Italian Serie A
22.02.26	Roma - Cremonese	3:0 ✺
15.02.26	Napoli - Roma	2:2 ✺
09.02.26	Roma - Cagliari	2:0 ✺
02.02.26	Udinese - Roma	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
29.01.26	Panathinaikos - Roma	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WTWLT
- Juventus
UEFA Champions League
25.02.26	Juventus - Galatasaray	3:2 ET ✺
Italian Serie A
21.02.26	Juventus - Como	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
17.02.26	Galatasaray - Juventus	5:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
14.02.26	Inter Milan - Juventus	3:2 ✺
08.02.26	Juventus - Lazio	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
20.12.25	Juventus - Roma	2:1
06.04.25	Roma - Juventus	1:1
01.09.24	Juventus - Roma	0:0
05.05.24	Roma - Juventus	1:1
30.12.23	Juventus - Roma	1:0
05.03.23	Roma - Juventus	1:0
27.08.22	Juventus - Roma	1:1

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