Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 8

Date: 29 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Olympic Stadium of Athens (Athens)

Referee: Martinez J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	Sport 24 Extra, VIX App


	Panathinaikos		Roma

	1	X	2
	5	3.25	1.8
	4.4	3.7	1.8
	5	3.4	1.85
	5.42	3.3	1.83
	5.64	3.43	1.73	Watch
	4.8	3.1	1.8
	5.16	3.35	1.86
	5.33	3.33	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.09 ↑ (3.17)	3.36 ↓ (3.7)	1.81 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Panathinaikos
18.7%

Draw
28.4%

Roma
52.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.5%

26.1%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

26.3%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Panathinaikos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Panathinaikos's form might have worsened.

Roma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Roma's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panathinaikos than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Panathinaikos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roma than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Roma, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.2%	10.9%	82.8%

Panathinaikos - Roma Predictions

Users Predictions: 62 users predict this event. Panathinaikos will win (votes: 4 - 6.5%). Roma will win (votes: 52 - 83.9%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 9.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Roma: 74.8% – 93%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +0.75 - Panathinaikos (1.89) (votes: 3 - 60%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Roma (2.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Roma will win (26 of 30 users predict this - 86.67%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 36 Selected Experts predict this event. Panathinaikos (votes: 5 - 13.9%). Roma (votes: 29 - 80.6%). Tie (votes: 2 - 5.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Lafont A. (G) 14. Palmer-Brown E. 15. Ingason S. I. 5. Touba A. 3. Katris G. 11. Bakasetas A. (C) 6. Siopis M. 77. Kyriakopoulos G. 20. Taborda V. 72. Pantovic M. 9. Zaroury A.	95. Gollini P. (G) 23. Mancini G. 24. Ziolkowski J. 87. Ghilardi D. 19. Celik Z. 61. Pisilli N. 4. Cristante B. (C) 8. El Aynaoui N. 12. Tsimikas K. 18. Soule M. 7. Pellegrini Lo.
Substitutes
71. Geitonas C. (G) 37. Kaloskamis N. 70. Kotsaris K. (G) 8. Sanches R. 62. Skarlatidis I. N. 47. Terzis S. 34. Vyntra A.	3. Angelino 75. Della Rocca M. 70. De Marzi G. (G) 21. Dybala P. 5. Ndicka E. 2. Rensch D. 99. Svilar M. (G) 43. Wesley Franca
Coaches
Benitez R.	Gasperini G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Siopis M. 🟨,
15', Mancini G. 🟥,
41', Ghilardi D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Soule M. ↓, Ndicka E. ↑,
58', 1 - 0, Taborda V. ⚽,
59', Siopis M. ↓, Sanches R. ↑,
64', Cristante B. ↓, Wesley Franca ↑,
64', Celik Z. ↓, Rensch D. ↑,
67', Pellegrini Lo. ↓, Della Rocca M. ↑,
70', Pisilli N. 🟨,
72', Touba A. ↓, Skarlatidis I. N. ↑,
80', 1 - 1, Ziolkowski J. ⚽,
88', Tsimikas K. ↓, Angelino ↑,
90+3', Taborda V. ↓, Terzis S. ↑,

Preview

Panathinaikos has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Roma is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Roma has had a series of home games.

In this match, Roma is the team to beat.

There will not play in Panathinaikos: Andino S. (Inactive) Calabria D. (Illness) Chaves L. (Inactive) Chirivella P. (Calf Injury) Dessers C. (Thigh Injury) Djuricic F. (Injury) Jedvaj T. (Inactive) Kontouris S. (Inactive) Kyriopoulos G. (Knee Injury) Mancini D. (Inactive) Pantelidis P. (Inactive) Pellistri F. (Injury) Sgouros I. (Inactive) Swiderski K. (Yellow Cards) Tetteh A. (Inactive) Vilhena T. (Inactive)

There will not play in Roma: Dovbyk A. (Groin Injury) El Shaarawy S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Ferguson E. (Ankle Injury) Hermoso M. (Injury) Kone M. (Hip Injury) Malen D. (Inactive) Vasquez Llach D. S. (Inactive) Vaz R. (Inactive) Zelezny R. (Inactive)

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Roma - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 43.44%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Panathinaikos FC
Greek Super League
25.01.26	Atromitos Athens - Panathinaikos	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.01.26	Ferencvárosi - Panathinaikos	1:1 ✺
Greek Super League
18.01.26	AEK Athens - Panathinaikos	4:0 ✺
Greek Cup
14.01.26	Panathinaikos - Aris	3:0 ✺
Greek Super League
11.01.26	Panathinaikos - Panserraikos	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TTLWW
- AS Roma
Italian Serie A
25.01.26	Roma - Milan	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.01.26	Roma - Stuttgart	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
18.01.26	Torino - Roma	0:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
13.01.26	Roma - Torino	2:3 ✺
Italian Serie A
10.01.26	Roma - Sassuolo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TWWLW

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