Match Info

Serie A - Round 24

Date: 9 February 2026, Monday

Location: Stadio Olimpico (Rome)

Referee: Marcenaro M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Angola	Z Sports 2
Argentina	DAZN, Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	Caze TV, Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada, FuboTV
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	DAZN
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Haiti	Tele Haiti
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Arena 4
Indonesia	ANTV, Vidio
Iran	IRIB Varzesh
Iraq	Al Rabiaa Sport 2
Israel	ONE Sport 2
Italy	DAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2, ART Sport 1
Kuwait	Shasha
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 3
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
Norway	VG+
Paraguay	DAZN
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Eleven Sports 2, Polsat Sport Premium 2
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-america	ESPN 2 South
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
United-kingdom	DAZN, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1
Uruguay	DAZN, Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN USA, Paramount+
Venezuela	DAZN, Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	K+, ON Football, ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab


	Roma		Cagliari

	1	X	2
	1.5	4	7.5	Watch
	1.46	4.2	7.5
	1.49	4.15	7.4	Watch
	1.5	4.12	7.88
	1.51	4.24	7.51	Watch
	1.44	3.9	7
	1.53	4.22	7.9
	1.5	4	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.43)	4.1 ↓ (4.5)	7.52 ↓ (7.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Roma
64%

Draw
23.3%

Cagliari
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.6%

21.2%

12.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.5%

23.1%

11.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Cagliari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Roma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
67.7%	13.8%	18.5%

Roma - Cagliari Predictions

Users Predictions: 63 users predict this event. Roma will win (votes: 43 - 68.3%). Cagliari will win (votes: 12 - 19%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 12.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Roma: 56.8% – 79.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Roma (2.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

1X2, 1st Half - draw (6.90) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 4 - 66.7%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Roma will win (30 of 33 users predict this - 90.91%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 34 Selected Experts predict this event. Roma (votes: 31 - 91.2%). Cagliari (votes: 2 - 5.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 2.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Svilar M. (G) 23. Mancini G. 5. Ndicka E. 87. Ghilardi D. 19. Celik Z. 4. Cristante B. (C) 61. Pisilli N. 43. Wesley Franca 18. Soule M. 7. Pellegrini Lo. 14. Malen D.	1. Caprile E. (C) 32. Pedro J. 22. Dossena A. 15. Rodriguez J. 2. Palestra M. 8. Adopo M. 10. Gaetano G. 4. Mazzitelli L. 33. Obert A. 9. Kilicsoy S. 94. Esposito Se.
Substitutes
3. Angelino 68. Arena A. 8. El Aynaoui N. 95. Gollini P. (G) 2. Rensch D. 12. Tsimikas K. 20. Venturino L. 97. Zaragoza B. 91. Zelezny R. (G) 24. Ziolkowski J.	20. Albarracin A. 24. Ciocci G. (G) 3. Idrissi R. 27. Liteta J. 31. Mendy P. 30. Pavoletti L. 18. Raterink O. 12. Sherri A. (G) 25. Sulemana I. 37. Trepy Y. 28. Zappa G.
Coaches
Gasperini G.	Pisacane F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', Dossena A. 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Malen D. ⚽, Mancini G. (A),
40', Palestra M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Pellegrini Lo. ↓, Zaragoza B. ↑,
58', Mancini G. 🟨,
59', Mazzitelli L. ↓, Sulemana I. ↑,
61', Gaetano G. 🟨,
65', 2 - 0, Malen D. ⚽, Celik Z. (A),
73', Kilicsoy S. ↓, Pavoletti L. ↑,
73', Esposito Se. ↓, Idrissi R. ↑,
82', Zaragoza B. 🟨,
84', Cristante B. ↓, El Aynaoui N. ↑,
84', Soule M. ↓, Venturino L. ↑,
84', Malen D. ↓, Arena A. ↑,
87', Pedro J. ↓, Zappa G. ↑,
87', Gaetano G. ↓, Trepy Y. ↑,
89', Idrissi R. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Roma won 3.

Roma has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cagliari is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Roma may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Roma is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Roma: Dovbyk A. (Groin Injury) Dybala P. (Knee Injury) El Shaarawy S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Ferguson E. (Ankle Injury) Hermoso M. (Hip Injury) Kone M. (Hip Injury) Vaz R. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Cagliari: Belotti A. (Knee Injury) Borrelli G. (Thigh Injury) Felici M. (Knee Injury) Folorunsho M. (Knee Injury) Mina Y. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Roma won 13 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 38:19. (average 1.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Roma won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:3. (average 1.9:0.3).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

AS Roma: 12.31% Cagliari: 0.38%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	AS Roma	5	4	1	0	14:3	11	13
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	5:2	3	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Roma
Italian Serie A
02.02.26	Udinese - Roma	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
29.01.26	Panathinaikos - Roma	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
25.01.26	Roma - Milan	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.01.26	Roma - Stuttgart	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
18.01.26	Torino - Roma	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTTWW
- Cagliari Calcio
Italian Serie A
31.01.26	Cagliari - Verona	4:0 ✺
24.01.26	Fiorentina - Cagliari	1:2 ✺
17.01.26	Cagliari - Juventus	1:0 ✺
12.01.26	Genoa - Cagliari	3:0 ✺
08.01.26	Cremonese - Cagliari	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.6 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
07.12.25	Cagliari - Roma	1:0
16.03.25	Roma - Cagliari	1:0
18.08.24	Cagliari - Roma	0:0
05.02.24	Roma - Cagliari	4:0
08.10.23	Cagliari - Roma	1:4
16.01.22	Roma - Cagliari	1:0
27.10.21	Cagliari - Roma	1:2

Upcoming Matches