Match Info

Serie A - Round 9

Date: 27 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Olimpico (Rome) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Feliciani E. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now
Albania	20:45	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	16:45	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	23:45	Fast Sports
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	06:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	20:45	DAZN 2, DAZN
Bangladesh	01:45	Begin
Belarus	22:45	Sport TV
Bolivia	15:45	ESPN 2
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:45	Arena Premium 2
Brazil	16:45	Disney+
Bulgaria	21:45	Max Sport 3
Cambodia	02:45	MyTV
Canada	15:45	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, fubo Sports Network 3 DRM, fubo Sports Network 5 DRM, fubo Sports Network 6 DRM, fubo Sports Network 7 DRM, fubo Sports Network, TLN, VIVA
China	03:45	Migu
Colombia	14:45	ESPN 2
Croatia	20:45	Arena Sport 3, Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	21:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	20:45	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	20:45	DAZN, TV2 Play
Ecuador	14:45	ESPN 2
Finland	21:45	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	20:45	DAZN France
Georgia	23:45	Silk Sport 1
Germany	20:45	DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	03:45	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
India	01:15	ZEE5
Indonesia	02:45	Vidio
Iraq	22:45	Almanasa
Italy	20:45	DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	04:45	DAZN Japan
Kuwait	22:45	Shasha
Macao	03:45	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Maldives	00:45	ICE Plus, Medianet
Mexico	13:45	Disney+, ESPN 2
New Zealand	08:45	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	20:45	MaxTV GO
Norway	20:45	VG+
Paraguay	16:45	ESPN 2
Peru	14:45	Disney+, ESPN 2
Poland	20:45	Eleven Sports 1
Romania	21:45	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	22:45	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	22:45	STC TV, Thmanyah
Serbia	20:45	Arena Sport 3
Slovakia	20:45	Sport 1, Voyo
Slovenia	20:45	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South Africa	21:45	SuperSport Football
Spain	20:45	DAZN Espana
Suriname	16:45	SCCN
Sweden	20:45	DAZN, TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 4
Switzerland	20:45	DAZN Switzerland
Tunisia	20:45	Diwan Sport
Turkey	22:45	S Sport 2
Ukraine	21:45	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United Kingdom	19:45	DAZN
Uruguay	16:45	Disney+
Usa	15:45	CBS Sports Network, NBC Universo, NBC, Paramount+, Peacock, Telemundo
Venezuela	15:45	Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter


	Roma		Cagliari

	1	X	2
	1.29	5.5	10
	1.30	5.25	10.00
	1.27	5.5	11.5	Watch
	1.32	5.6	11.8
	1.32	5.5	10.5	Watch
	1.27	5.4	11
	1.33	5.48	12.1
	1.26	5.8	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.36)	5.5 ↑ (4.94)	10.99 ↑ (8.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roma
73.9%

Draw
17.4%

Cagliari
8.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

70%

19.3%

10.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.5%

19.2%

11.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Cagliari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roma than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	5%	7.5%

Roma - Cagliari Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Roma (1.92) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

BTTS - no (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Roma (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

AH -1.25 - Roma (1.95) (votes: 88%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Roma will win (35 of 40 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.25% – 97.75%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Roma will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Roma (votes: 10 - 83.3%). Cagliari (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
95. Gollini P. (G) 23. Mancini G. 5. Ndicka E. 3. Koulierakis K. 77. Lulli E. 4. Cristante B. (C) 15. De Roon M. 61. Pisilli N. 20. Molina N. 18. Soule M. 9. Castro S.	1. Caprile E. (G) 2. Pedro J. 26. Mina Y. 15. Rodriguez J. 28. Sugawara Y. 8. Adopo M. 4. Romano A. 14. Deiola A. (C) 33. Obert A. 39. Fadera A. 18. Nzola M.
Substitutes
26. Balerdi L. 78. Camara M. 70. De Marzi G. (G) 63. Di Nunzio A. 87. Ghilardi D. 22. Hermoso M. 14. Malen D. 86. Mora R. 2. Rensch D. 32. Vasquez Llach D. S. (G) 43. Wesley Franca	24. Aurelio G. 20. Ciervo R. 10. Fazzini J. 21. Gagliardini R. 9. Kevin 22. Kofler R. 27. Liteta J. 70. Maldini D. 79. Massolin Y. 31. Mendy P. 23. Radunovic B. (G) 12. Sherri A. (G) 32. Sulev I. 19. Trepy Y.
Coaches
Gasperini G.	Pisacane F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Nzola M. (Penalty Awarded),
15', 1 - 1, Lulli E. ⚽, Molina N. (A),
21', 2 - 1, Pisilli N. ⚽, Lulli E. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Molina N. ↓, Wesley Franca ↑,
56', De Roon M. ↓, Mora R. ↑,
56', Castro S. ↓, Malen D. ↑,
63', Nzola M. ↓, Mendy P. ↑,
76', Fadera A. ↓, Maldini D. ↑,
76', Deiola A. ↓, Liteta J. ↑,
76', Lulli E. ↓, Rensch D. ↑,
81', 2 - 2, Maldini D. ⚽, Obert A. (A),
82', Mancini G. ↓, Ghilardi D. ↑,
85', 3 - 2, Mora R. ⚽, Ghilardi D. (A),
87', 4 - 2, Malen D. ⚽,
90+1', Adopo M. ↓, Massolin Y. ↑,
90+1', Sugawara Y. ↓, Trepy Y. ↑,
90+4', Rodriguez J. 🟨,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Champions League League phase and 9th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Roma won 3.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Roma may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The betting markets point to Roma as the clear and undisputed favorite.

Confirmed absences for Roma: Bah M. (Knee Injury) Kone M. (Muscle Injury) Pellegrini Lo. (Thigh Injury) Svilar M. (Toe Injury).

Confirmed absences for Cagliari: Felici M. (Knee Injury) Idrissi R. (Knee Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Roma: Dybala P. (Calf Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Cagliari: Winks H. (Back Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Roma has recorded 13 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 38:19 (averaging 1.9:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Roma against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 17:3 goals (averaging 1.9:0.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	AS Roma	9	6	3	0	23:8	15	21
10	Cagliari	9	4	1	4	8:13	-5	13

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

AS Roma: 12.31% Cagliari: 0.2%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Roma
Italian Serie A
24.10.26	Napoli - Roma	3:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
20.10.26	Roma - Slovan Bratislava	4:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
17.10.26	Roma - Genoa	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
14.10.26	Roma - Real Madrid	3:4 ✺
Italian Serie A
11.10.26	Como - Roma	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TWWLT
- Cagliari Calcio
Italian Serie A
24.10.26	Cagliari - Bologna	0:2 ✺
19.10.26	Monza - Cagliari	4:0 ✺
11.10.26	Cagliari - Juventus	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Udinese - Cagliari	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Atalanta - Cagliari	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.8 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
09.02.26	Roma - Cagliari	2:0
07.12.25	Cagliari - Roma	1:0
16.03.25	Roma - Cagliari	1:0
18.08.24	Cagliari - Roma	0:0
05.02.24	Roma - Cagliari	4:0
08.10.23	Cagliari - Roma	1:4
16.01.22	Roma - Cagliari	1:0

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