Match Info

Serie A - Round 8

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Diego Armando Maradona (Naples) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Colombo A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now
Albania	18:00	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	13:00	Disney+
Armenia	20:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	18:00	DAZN
Bangladesh	22:00	Begin
Belarus	19:00	Sport TV
Belgium	18:00	DAZN 1
Bolivia	12:00	ESPN 3
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:00	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	13:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	19:00	Max Sport 3
Cambodia	23:00	MyTV
Canada	12:00	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, fubo Sports Network 3 DRM, fubo Sports Network 4 DRM, fubo Sports Network 5 DRM, fubo Sports Network 7 DRM, fubo Sports Network 9 DRM, fubo Sports Network, TLN, VIVA
China	00:00	Migu
Croatia	18:00	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	19:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	18:00	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	18:00	DAZN, TV2 Play
Ecuador	11:00	ESPN 3
Estonia	19:00	Go3 Extra Sports
Europe	—	Go3 Sport 1 Baltic
Finland	19:00	MTV Katsomo+
France	18:00	DAZN France
Germany	18:00	DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	00:00	beIN Sports 3, M Plus Live
Hungary	18:00	Arena 4
India	21:30	ZEE5
Indonesia	23:00	Vidio
Iraq	19:00	Almanasa
Israel	19:00	ONE Sport 2
Italy	18:00	DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	01:00	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	18:00	Arena Premium 3
Kuwait	19:00	Shasha
Lithuania	19:00	Go3 Extra Sports
Macao	00:00	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	00:00	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Maldives	21:00	ICE Plus, Medianet
Malta	18:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	10:00	Disney+, ESPN
Netherlands	18:00	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	05:00	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	18:00	Arena Premium 3
Norway	18:00	VG+
Peru	11:00	Disney+, ESPN 3
Poland	18:00	Eleven Sports 1
Romania	19:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	19:00	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	19:00	STC TV, Thmanyah
Serbia	18:00	Arena Premium 3
Slovakia	18:00	Sport 1, Voyo
South Africa	18:00	SuperSport Football
South Korea	01:00	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	18:00	DAZN Espana
Suriname	13:00	SCCN
Sweden	18:00	DAZN, TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	18:00	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	23:00	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	17:00	Diwan Sport
Turkey	19:00	S Sport 2
Ukraine	19:00	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	17:00	DAZN, HBO Max, TNT Sports 4
Uruguay	13:00	Disney+
Usa	12:00	CBS Sports Golazo, CBS Sports Network, NBC Universo, NBC, Paramount+, Peacock, Telemundo
Venezuela	12:00	Disney+, ESPN 3


	Napoli		Roma

	1	X	2
	2.60	3.40	2.70	Watch
	2.65	3.20	2.75
	2.55	3.35	2.60	Watch
	2.78	3.26	2.85
	2.81	3.3	2.69	Watch
	2.75	3.20	2.70
	2.83	3.38	2.56
	2.60	3.35	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↓ (2.95)	3.31 ↓ (3.45)	2.7 ↑ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Napoli
35.5%

Draw
29%

Roma
35.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.2%

27.5%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

27.5%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Napoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Roma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25.9%	29.6%	44.4%

Napoli - Roma Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Napoli will win (votes: 7 - 25.9%). Roma will win (votes: 12 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 29.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Roma: 25.7% – 63.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 1st Half - draw (2.24) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

AH 0 - Napoli (1.95) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH +1.5 - Roma (1.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.59) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Napoli (votes: 1 - 20%). Roma (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Meret A. (G) 22. Di Lorenzo G. (C) 16. Marin R. 5. Badiashile B. 17. Olivera M. 11. De Bruyne K. 99. Anguissa F. 8. McTominay S. 21. Politano M. 19. Hojlund R. 70. Lang N.	95. Gollini P. (G) 23. Mancini G. 5. Ndicka E. 22. Hermoso M. 2. Rensch D. 15. De Roon M. 4. Cristante B. (C) 61. Pisilli N. 43. Wesley Franca 18. Soule M. 14. Malen D.
Substitutes
31. Beukema S. 14. Contini N. (G) 6. Gilmour B. 23. Giovane 68. Lobotka S. 20. Lucca L. 35. Marianucci L. 32. Milinkovic-Savic V. (G) 37. Spinazzola L. 26. Vergara A.	26. Balerdi L. 78. Camara M. 9. Castro S. 70. De Marzi G. (G) 63. Di Nunzio A. 87. Ghilardi D. 3. Koulierakis K. 77. Lulli E. 20. Molina N. 86. Mora R. 32. Vasquez Llach D. S. (G)
Coaches
Allegri M.	Gasperini G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', Marin R. 🟨,
28', 1 - 0, Anguissa F. ⚽,
30', Cristante B. 🟨,
45+1', Rensch D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
48', 2 - 0, McTominay S. ⚽, Politano M. (A),
52', Badiashile B. ↓, Beukema S. ↑,
58', Rensch D. ↓, Molina N. ↑,
58', Hermoso M. ↓, Balerdi L. ↑,
59', Pisilli N. ↓, Castro S. ↑,
62', Balerdi L. 🟨,
67', Politano M. ↓, Giovane ↑,
70', 2 - 1, Soule M. ⚽, Malen D. (A),
74', 2 - 2, Balerdi L. ⚽, Castro S. (A),
79', De Bruyne K. ↓, Lobotka S. ↑,
80', Lang N. ↓, Vergara A. ↑,
80', Di Lorenzo G. ↓, Spinazzola L. ↑,
83', 3 - 2, McTominay S. ⚽, Olivera M. (A),
84', Malen D. ↓, Mora R. ↑,
84', Mancini G. ↓, Ghilardi D. ↑,
86', De Roon M. 🟨,
89', 3 - 3, Balerdi L. ⚽, Wesley Franca (A),
90+2', Allegri M. 🟥,

Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 10th and 3rd in the Promotion - Champions League League phase).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 2.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Recently, Roma has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Confirmed absences for Napoli: Alisson Santos (Muscle Injury) Buongiorno A. (Knee Injury) David Neres (Thigh Injury) Favasuli C. (Thigh Injury).

Confirmed absences for Roma: Bah M. (Knee Injury) Dybala P. (Calf Injury) Kone M. (Muscle Injury) Pellegrini Lo. (Thigh Injury) Svilar M. (Toe Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Napoli: Rrahmani A. (Illness) Vergara A. (Calf Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Napoli has recorded 10 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 31:22 (averaging 1.6:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Napoli against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with 18:15 goals (averaging 1.8:1.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	AS Roma	9	6	3	0	23:8	15	21
7	Napoli	9	4	2	3	17:11	6	14

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

AS Roma: 13.44% Napoli: 1.41%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SSC Napoli
UEFA Champions League
20.10.26	Napoli - Bodø Glimt	4:3 ✺
Italian Serie A
17.10.26	Venezia - Napoli	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
13.10.26	Villarreal - Napoli	3:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
10.10.26	Napoli - Frosinone	3:0 ✺
20.09.26	Fiorentina - Napoli	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLLWT
- AS Roma
UEFA Champions League
20.10.26	Roma - Slovan Bratislava	4:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
17.10.26	Roma - Genoa	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
14.10.26	Roma - Real Madrid	3:4 ✺
Italian Serie A
11.10.26	Como - Roma	0:0 ✺
19.09.26	Roma - Inter Milan	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
15.02.26	Napoli - Roma	2:2
30.11.25	Roma - Napoli	0:1
02.02.25	Roma - Napoli	1:1
24.11.24	Napoli - Roma	1:0
28.04.24	Napoli - Roma	2:2
23.12.23	Roma - Napoli	2:0
29.01.23	Napoli - Roma	2:1

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