Match Info

Serie D - Group E - Round 5

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday


	Montevarchi		Progresso

	1	X	2
	1.90	3.30	3.40
	1.9	3.2	3.5
	1.91	3.42	3.63	Watch
	1.9	3.2	3.45
	1.86	3.32	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (1.95)	3.29 ↓ (3.3)	3.54 ↓ (3.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montevarchi
47.4%

Draw
27.3%

Progresso
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

27.7%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montevarchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Progresso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Montevarchi - Progresso Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Montevarchi has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Montevarchi is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Montevarchi	6	2	1	3	9:11	-2	7
16	SCD Progresso	6	1	0	5	4:15	-11	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montevarchi Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group E
20.09.26	Siena - Montevarchi	3:0 ✺
16.09.26	Seravezza Pozzi - Montevarchi	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Montevarchi - Tau Altopascio	4:1 ✺
06.09.26	Lucchese - Montevarchi	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
13.08.26	Montevarchi - Grassina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LTWLW
- SCD Progresso Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group E
20.09.26	Progresso - Seravezza Pozzi	0:3 ✺
16.09.26	Lucchese - Progresso	5:0 ✺
12.09.26	Progresso - Scandicci	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Tau Altopascio - Progresso	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group D
03.05.26	Progresso - Sasso Marconi	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWLW

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