Match Info

Liga Profesional - Clausura - Round 3

Date: 2 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Marcelo Bielsa (Rosario)

Referee: Merlos A. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	AFA Play, ESPN 2, TNT Sports
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Canada	fubo Sports Network
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Peru	Disney+, ESPN
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Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
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Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN


	Newells Old Boys		Boca Juniors

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.25	1.81	Watch
	4.40	3.20	1.88
	4.95	3.25	1.85	Watch
	5.12	3.33	1.91
	4.15	3.18	2.01	Watch
	5.05	3.2	1.85
	5.08	3.3	1.85	Watch
	4.8	3.2	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.79 ↑ (3.36)	3.24 ↑ (3.2)	1.87 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newells Old Boys
19.9%

Draw
29.4%

Boca Juniors
50.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.2%

29.6%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newells Old Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Newells Old Boys's form might have worsened.

Boca Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Boca Juniors's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	33.3%	58.3%

Newells Old Boys - Boca Juniors Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Newells Old Boys will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Boca Juniors will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Boca Juniors: 35.2% – 92%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Reinatti J. (G) 24. Escobar F. 23. Goitea N. 17. Giannetti L. 28. Russo J. 8. Sotelo D. 5. Regiardo L. (C) 7. Mazzantti W. 20. Guch F. 39. Rios T. 9. Coccaro M.	1. Montero A. (G) 24. Gorosito D. 2. Di Lollo L. 32. Costa A. 3. Blanco L. 5. Paredes L. (C) 25. Ascacibar S. 19. Flores L. 10. Aranda T. 22. Villa S. 16. Miguel Merentiel
Substitutes
10. Acuna V. 21. Arias G. (G) 35. Benedetto B. 25. Cabrera B. 29. Esponda M. 18. Garcia M. E. 2. Glavinovich I. 27. Gomez L. 3. Luciano M. 99. Ramirez I. 36. Scarpeccio F. 15. Sonora A.	15. Alarcon Cepeda W. H. 11. Angel Romero 27. Braida M. 12. Brey L. (G) 18. Delgado M. 4. Figal J. 9. Gimenez M. 17. Lozano L. 26. Pellegrino M. 23. Rey Domenech C. 20. Velasco A. 21. Zenon K.
Coaches
Kudelka F.	Arruabarrena R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Ascacibar S. ⚽, Villa S. (A),
43', Giannetti L. 🟨,
45+1', Costa A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
50', 1 - 1, Coccaro M. ⚽, Guch F. (A),
53', Regiardo L. 🟨,
59', 2 - 1, Regiardo L. ⚽, Rios T. (A),
63', Miguel Merentiel ↓, Gimenez M. ↑,
66', Coccaro M. ↓, Ramirez I. ↑,
68', Paredes L. 🟨,
75', Villa S. ↓, Velasco A. ↑,
75', Gorosito D. ↓, Lozano L. ↑,
80', Velasco A. 🟨,
81', 2 - 2, Velasco A. ⚽, Aranda T. (A),
84', Sotelo D. ↓, Gomez L. ↑,
90+3', Escobar F. ↓, Cabrera B. ↑,
90+3', Guch F. ↓, Acuna V. ↑,
90+3', Rios T. ↓, Benedetto B. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newells Old Boys won 1.

Boca Juniors is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Boca Juniors may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Boca Juniors is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Newells Old Boys: Esponda M. (Inactive) Herrera R. (Elbow Injury) Montero A. (Knee Injury) Ortega M. (Inactive)

There will not play in Boca Juniors: Bareiro A. (Lower Back Injury) Battaglia R. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Belmonte T. (Ankle Injury) Carlos Palacios (Muscle Injury) Marchesin A. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Newells Old Boys won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 11:33. (average 0.6:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Newells Old Boys won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 0.8:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Boca Juniors - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 42.25%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newells Old Boys
Argentinian Liga Profesional
30.07.26	Independiente - Newells Old Boys	1:0 ✺
25.07.26	Newells Old Boys - Talleres de Córdoba	1:0 ✺
04.05.26	Vélez Sársfield - Newells Old Boys	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Newells Old Boys - Instituto Córdoba	1:1 ✺
17.04.26	Unión Santa Fe - Newells Old Boys	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.9 LWTTW
- Boca Juniors
Copa Sudamericana
30.07.26	OHiggins - Boca Juniors	1:1 penalties ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
26.07.26	Deportivo Riestra - Boca Juniors	3:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
23.07.26	Boca Juniors - OHiggins	1:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
16.07.26	Sarmiento de Junín - Boca Juniors	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
08.07.26	Boca Juniors - Athletico Paranaense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
01.02.26	Boca Juniors - Newells Old Boys	2:0
05.10.25	Boca Juniors - Newells Old Boys	5:0
30.03.25	Newells Old Boys - Boca Juniors	2:0
08.12.24	Newells Old Boys - Boca Juniors	0:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
06.04.24	Newells Old Boys - Boca Juniors	1:3
12.11.23	Boca Juniors - Newells Old Boys	1:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
24.07.23	Boca Juniors - Newells Old Boys	2:1

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