Match Info

Eliteserien - Round 9

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Lerkendal Stadion (Trondheim)

Referee: Sletner S. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play


	Rosenborg		Aalesunds

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.2	5.25	Watch
	1.58	4.2	5.35	Watch
	1.64	4.5	5.21
	1.58	4.38	5.2	Watch
	1.57	4	4.8
	1.6	4.35	5.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.88)	4.27 ↑ (3.87)	5.17 ↑ (3.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Rosenborg
59.5%

Draw
22.2%

Aalesunds
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.9%

24.7%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

21.6%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rosenborg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rosenborg's performance.

Aalesunds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aalesunds might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rosenborg than the current prediction. (-15%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rosenborg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aalesunds than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aalesunds could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

Rosenborg - Aalesunds Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Rosenborg (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Rosenborg (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Rosenborg (1.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Rosenborg (1.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Rosenborg will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Rosenborg (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wahlstedt L. (G) 15. Mortensen J. 2. Rosten H. 21. Nemcik T. 3. Dahl T. 17. Bomholt M. 6. Vaananen S. 10. Selnaes O. (C) 35. Ceide E. K. 18. Chiakha A. 7. Nordli S.	1. Klaesson K. (G) 2. Andresen M. 4. Haram S. 5. Kjelsen A. (C) 3. Gudmundsson O. 14. Charles U. 21. Christensen M. 18. Hagen E. 15. Osenbroch E. 39. Lonebu K. 27. Reed M.
Substitutes
25. Bakke J. 4. Ceide M. K. 29. Duris D. 8. Fossum I. 9. Islamovic D. 19. Pereira A. 11. Sahsah N. 12. Sandberg R. (G) 5. Volden H.	20. Djantou I. 22. Engqvist E. 6. Hammer H. 11. Johannsson D. 26. Larsen T. (G) 8. Melland H. 17. Myrlid E. 7. Nesso K. 16. Orsahl J.
Coaches
Tettey A.	Rekdal K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Chiakha A. ⚽, Bomholt M. (A),
6', Klaesson K. 🟨,
29', 1 - 1, Lonebu K. ⚽, Andresen M. (A),
39', Nemcik T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Mortensen J. ↓, Pereira A. ↑,
46', Selnaes O. ↓, Fossum I. ↑,
50', 1 - 2, Christensen M. ⚽, Osenbroch E. (A),
56', Christensen M. 🟨,
66', Hagen E. 🟨,
68', Bomholt M. ↓, Sahsah N. ↑,
68', Nordli S. ↓, Islamovic D. ↑,
76', Christensen M. ↓, Johannsson D. ↑,
78', 2 - 2, Ceide E. K. ⚽,
80', 2 - 3, Osenbroch E. ⚽, Johannsson D. (A),
81', Osenbroch E. ↓, Hammer H. ↑,
81', Reed M. ↓, Myrlid E. ↑,
84', Andresen M. ↓, Nesso K. ↑,
88', Pereira A. ↓, Duris D. ↑,
90+1', Charles U. 🟨,
90+3', Islamovic D. 🟨,
90+4', Kjelsen A. 🟨,
90+8', Myrlid E. 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rosenborg won 3.

In recent matches, Rosenborg has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Aalesunds is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Aalesunds may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Rosenborg is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Rosenborg: Slordal E. (Leg Injury) Witry A. F. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Aalesunds: Kristensen M. (Injury) Ngongo P. (Surgery) Seehusen J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Rosenborg: Nordli S. (Injury) Svensson J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Aalesunds: Aukland P. (Knock)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rosenborg won 11 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 34:16. (average 1.7:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Rosenborg won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 26:8. (average 2.2:0.7).

Outrights of Norwegian Eliteserien for now

Rosenborg: 0.48%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Rosenborg	22	10	4	8	40:31	9	34
14	Aalesund	22	4	9	9	35:50	-15	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rosenborg BK
Norwegian Eliteserien
10.05.26	Rosenborg - Lillestrøm SK	2:0 ✺
01.05.26	Viking Stavanger - Rosenborg	3:0 ✺
25.04.26	Rosenborg - Brann	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Sandefjord - Rosenborg	0:0 ✺
12.04.26	Rosenborg - Sarpsborg 08	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WLTTW
- Aalesunds FK
Norwegian Eliteserien
03.05.26	Sandefjord - Aalesunds	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Aalesunds - Kristiansund	1:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
22.04.26	Brann - Aalesunds	2:1 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
18.04.26	Bodø Glimt - Aalesunds	3:0 ✺
12.04.26	Aalesunds - KFUM-Kameratene Oslo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
09.02.24	Rosenborg - Aalesunds	2:1
Norwegian Eliteserien
27.08.23	Rosenborg - Aalesunds	4:0
02.07.23	Aalesunds - Rosenborg	1:0
Club Friendly
03.03.23	Rosenborg - Aalesunds	1:1
Norwegian Eliteserien
21.08.22	Rosenborg - Aalesunds	2:1
17.07.22	Aalesunds - Rosenborg	0:0
Club Friendly
13.06.22	Rosenborg - Aalesunds	2:0

Upcoming Matches