Match Info

Date: 10 July 2022, Sunday

Location: Lerkendal Stadion (Trondheim)

Referee: Moen C. (Nor)


	Rosenborg		Jerv

	1	X	2
	1.3	5.5	9.5	Watch
	1.29	5.5	9
	1.29	6.25	8.5
	1.29	5.4	8.4
	1.32	6.03	9.38
	1.25	5	10
	1.29	5.8	9.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.33)	5.64 ↑ (4.7)	9.23 ↑ (8.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rosenborg
73.1%

Draw
16.7%

Jerv
10.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.8%

19.8%

10.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.9%

19.2%

10.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rosenborg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Jerv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rosenborg than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jerv than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.4%	9.7%	12.9%

Rosenborg - Jerv Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Rosenborg will win (votes: 24 - 77.4%). Jerv will win (votes: 4 - 12.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 9.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rosenborg: 62.7% – 92.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen).

Rosenborg has the most likely position - 4 (20.38%), has project points - 51, has currently - 18, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a small chance of qualify for ucl (6%), has a small chance of win league (6%).

Jerv has the most likely position - 15 (38.4%), has project points - 24, has currently - 11, has a good chance of relegated (79%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 22, importance 34, small match rating 28. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Rosenborg is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Jerv is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Rosenborg have a series of guest games.

In this match Rosenborg is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Jerv: Fernandes L. (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Rosenborg won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rosenborg BK
Norwegian Eliteserien
03.07.22	Viking Stavanger - Rosenborg	1:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
30.06.22	Sandnes Ulf - Rosenborg	0:2 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
25.06.22	Rosenborg - Kristiansund	3:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
22.06.22	Levanger - Rosenborg	1:2 ET ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
19.06.22	Lillestrøm SK - Rosenborg	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TWWWL
- FK Jerv
Norwegian Eliteserien
06.07.22	Molde - Jerv	1:1 ✺
02.07.22	Jerv - Haugesund	1:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
22.06.22	Fram Larvik - Jerv	1:2 ET ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
19.06.22	Jerv - Hamarkameratene	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
12.06.22	Jerv - Tromsø	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian NM Cup
09.08.17	Jerv - Rosenborg	1:2

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