Match Info

1st Division - Relegation Group - Round 30

Date: 9 May 2025, Friday

Location: Roskilde Idrætspark (Roskilde)

Referee: Kobberrod J. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Roskilde		Hobro

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.9	3
	2.75	3.5	2.2
	2.18	3.7	2.95	Watch
	2.21	3.8	3.15
	2.14	3.93	2.92	Watch
	2.8	3.3	2.25
	2.1	3.89	2.99	Watch
	2.18	3.7	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (3.05)	3.72 ↑ (3.7)	2.8 ↑ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roskilde
40.9%

Draw
25.4%

Hobro
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

24.8%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

24.2%

46.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roskilde has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Roskilde's performance.

Hobro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hobro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roskilde than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Roskilde that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hobro than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hobro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Roskilde - Hobro Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Roskilde will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Hobro will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Roskilde: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Roskilde (1.72) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DNB - Roskilde (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Roskilde will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Roskilde (votes: 9 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Hjorth Reenberg O. (G) 26. Lysholm M. 14. Nyegaard K. 34. Halsgaard A. 18. Maarup A. 6. Halse N. 2. Juhl M. 11. Baskaya S. 9. Uhd M. 3. Jensen Juul O. 15. Taranis A.	1. Sondergaard A. (G) 22. Nielsen M. 18. Sogaard E. 12. Jacobsen M. 5. Kannegaard Kristensen M. 27. Klitten L. 7. Klitten O. 47. Bryld A. 49. Schmolker V. 23. Bruhn M. 26. Hansen T.
Substitutes
5. Askham H. 25. Engqvist F. 27. Faester A. 23. Hamade Z. 22. Heerfordt K. 16. Jensen A. (G) 8. Kristensen M. 7. Nielsen E. 24. Svensson V.	9. Andreasen S. 40. Boye M. 25. Dakir J. (G) 13. Dietz F. 17. Hyltoft Z. 44. Lennert Nielsen T. 16. Meedom O. 43. Nathan A. 8. Pedersen M.
Coaches
Johannsen K.	Thomsen M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 1 - 0, Maarup A. ⚽, Juhl M. (A),
53', Bryld A. ↓, Pedersen M. ↑,
53', Schmolker V. ↓, Andreasen S. ↑,
59', 1 - 1, Bruhn M. ⚽, Andreasen S. (A),
67', Klitten L. ↓, Meedom O. ↑,
74', Baskaya S. ↓, Nielsen E. ↑,
74', Lysholm M. ↓, Askham H. ↑,
80', Bruhn M. ↓, Boye M. ↑,
80', Nielsen M. ↓, Nathan A. ↑,
86', Taranis A. ↓, Engqvist F. ↑,
86', Halse N. ↓, Kristensen M. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Roskilde won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Roskilde won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Roskilde won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Roskilde
Danish 1 Division
04.05.25	HB Køge - Roskilde	4:3 ✺
26.04.25	Roskilde - Vendsyssel	2:1 ✺
20.04.25	Hillerød - Roskilde	5:2 ✺
17.04.25	Roskilde - HB Køge	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	Vendsyssel - Roskilde	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWLTT
- Hobro IK
Danish 1 Division
02.05.25	Hobro - Hillerød	0:0 ✺
25.04.25	B.93 Copenhagen - Hobro	5:0 ✺
21.04.25	HB Køge - Hobro	0:2 ✺
16.04.25	Hobro - Vendsyssel	3:1 ✺
11.04.25	Hobro - B.93 Copenhagen	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
30.03.25	Hobro - Roskilde	1:1
04.10.24	Hobro - Roskilde	4:1
10.08.24	Roskilde - Hobro	0:2
30.04.17	Hobro - Roskilde	1:2
20.03.17	Roskilde - Hobro	1:2
Danish Landspokal Cup
13.10.15	Roskilde - Hobro	1:0 penalties

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