Match Info

DENMARK: 1st Division - Round 6

Date: 20 August 2024, Tuesday

Location: Roskilde Idrætspark (Roskilde)

Referee: Rasmussen S. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Europe	ViaPlay Baltic
Finland	Elisa Viihde, Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Roskilde		Horsens

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.8	1.75	Watch
	3.7	3.7	1.8
	3.95	3.95	1.79	Watch
	4.05	4.01	1.82
				Watch
	4	3.9	1.65
	3.92	3.88	1.81	Watch
	3.95	3.95	1.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.95 ↓ (4.05)	3.88 ↓ (3.94)	1.77 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roskilde
23.5%

Draw
24%

Horsens
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23%

23.7%

53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.7%

23.3%

54.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roskilde has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Horsens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roskilde than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Horsens than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	4.5%	77.3%

Roskilde - Horsens Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Roskilde will win (votes: 4 - 19%). Horsens will win (votes: 16 - 76.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Horsens: 58% – 94.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Brylov M. (G) 2. Juhl M. 19. Montell V. 4. Skolnik O. 3. Jensen Juul O. 6. Halse N. 14. Nyegaard K. 10. Arabaci R. 18. Maarup A. 15. Taranis A. 7. Nielsen E.	1. Delac M. (G) 25. Kallesoe M. 4. Hausner S. 33. Ludwig A. 14. Madsen J. 15. Kjaergaard O. 10. Ngabo S. 12. Tape C. 9. Hyseni M. 17. Herdonsson A. 11. Pingel S.
Substitutes
5. Askham H. 11. Baskaya S. 22. Damkjaer J. 16. Jensen A. (G) 8. Kristensen M. 26. Lysholm M. 12. Vesterbaek N. 17. Winkel M.	7. Ankersen J. 18. Christensen F. 45. Egho M. 31. Hoff A. (G) 21. Karikari K. 24. Kolskogen O. 8. Kouassi O. 6. Opondo M. 34. Roslyng F.
Coaches
Thygesen M.	Retov M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Arabaci R. 🟨,
43', Pingel S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
53', 1 - 0, Taranis A. ⚽, Halse N. (A),
58', Pingel S. ↓, Egho M. ↑,
58', Hyseni M. ↓, Karikari K. ↑,
60', 1 - 1, Kallesoe M. ⚽,
67', 1 - 2, Kjaergaard O. ⚽, Madsen J. (A),
72', Jensen Juul O. ↓, Lysholm M. ↑,
72', Maarup A. ↓, Kristensen M. ↑,
74', Ngabo S. ↓, Ankersen J. ↑,
75', Madsen J. ↓, Christensen F. ↑,
77', Arabaci R. ↓, Baskaya S. ↑,
77', Taranis A. ↓, Winkel M. ↑,
82', Herdonsson A. 🟨,
85', Kallesoe M. ↓, Kolskogen O. ↑,
88', Halse N. ↓, Askham H. ↑,
89', Ankersen J. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 11 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )).

Roskilde is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Horsens is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Horsens could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Horsens is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Roskilde won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Roskilde won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Roskilde
Danish 1 Division
16.08.24	Fredericia - Roskilde	3:2 ✺
10.08.24	Roskilde - Hobro	0:2 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
05.08.24	Hellerup - Roskilde	0:2 ✺
Danish 1 Division
02.08.24	Hillerød - Roskilde	2:0 ✺
27.07.24	Roskilde - B.93 Copenhagen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLWLL
- AC Horsens
Danish 1 Division
16.08.24	Horsens - Kolding IF	0:1 ✺
11.08.24	HB Køge - Horsens	0:2 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
07.08.24	Kjellerup - Horsens	0:5 ✺
Danish 1 Division
04.08.24	Esbjerg - Horsens	0:1 ✺
26.07.24	Horsens - Hillerød	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
17.04.16	Horsens - Roskilde	2:1
06.11.15	Roskilde - Horsens	0:1
06.06.15	Roskilde - Horsens	1:2
15.03.15	Horsens - Roskilde	1:2
17.09.14	Roskilde - Horsens	0:1

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