Match Info

Championship - Round 34

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Global Energy Stadium (Dingwall)

Referee: McFarlane D. (Sco)


	Ross County		Ayr United

	1	X	2
	2.05	3	3.4
	2.08	3.1	3.55	Watch
	2.2	3.2	3.68
	2.05	3.19	3.83	Watch
	2.1	3	3.6
	2.17	3.18	3.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.22)	3.11 ↓ (3.14)	3.61 ↑ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ross County
44.2%

Draw
30%

Ayr United
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

29.3%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

28%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ross County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Ayr United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ross County than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayr United than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Ross County - Ayr United Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Ross County will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Carson T. (G) 4. Wright A. 31. Gallagher D. 16. Iacovitti A. 3. O'Sullivan L. 12. Carbon J. 6. Randall C. 10. Chilvers N. 23. Docherty R. 27. Duncan R. 11. Phillips K.	1. Mitchell D. (G) 3. Dick L. 20. King L. 5. Holt K. 33. McMann S. 16. Summers B. 8. Dempsey B. 15. Murphy J. 6. Bannigan S. 23. Rus M. 7. Dowds A.
Substitutes
45. Brown C. 8. Cornelius D. 21. Foster B. (G) 7. Henderson J. 38. Lindsay J. 5. Pitan L. 43. Reid J. 15. Smith D. 26. White J.	37. Devenny R. 34. Douglas J. 55. Finney G. 18. Hislop J. 29. McRoberts L. 38. Russell L. (G) 12. Turley F. 4. Want S. 32. Watret D.
Coaches
Kettlewell S.	Rankin J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Duncan R. ⚽,
28', Randall C. 🟨,
39', McMann S. 🟨,
42', 1 - 1, Dowds A. ⚽, Dick L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Carson T. ↓, Foster B. ↑,
53', Dempsey B. 🟨,
55', Rus M. ↓, Watret D. ↑,
63', Duncan R. 🟨,
67', Carbon J. ↓, White J. ↑,
67', Gallagher D. ↓, Smith D. ↑,
70', 2 - 1, Iacovitti A. ⚽, Duncan R. (A),
77', Chilvers N. ↓, Lindsay J. ↑,
79', Lindsay J. 🟨,
81', Summers B. ↓, McRoberts L. ↑,
90', Murphy J. ↓, Hislop J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ross County won 1.

Ross County is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Ayr's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ross County may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Ayr has had a series of home games.

Ross County could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Ross County won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:12. (average 1.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Ross County won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 2:1.2).

Outrights of Scottish Football Championship for now

Ayr: 1.22%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Ayr	10	3	3	4	10:11	-1	12

Last Results with these Odds

Ross County - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 41.54%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ross County
Scottish Football Championship
10.04.26	Queens Park - Ross County	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Ross County - Airdrieonians	0:4 ✺
27.03.26	Partick Thistle - Ross County	3:1 ✺
21.03.26	Ross County - Dunfermline Athletic	2:2 ✺
14.03.26	St. Johnstone - Ross County	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLTL
- Ayr United
Scottish Football Championship
11.04.26	Ayr United - Arbroath	1:0 ✺
07.04.26	Ayr United - Dunfermline Athletic	0:3 ✺
04.04.26	Ayr United - Partick Thistle	1:1 ✺
27.03.26	Raith Rovers - Ayr United	3:0 ✺
21.03.26	Ayr United - Greenock Morton	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
21.02.26	Ayr United - Ross County	0:0
08.11.25	Ross County - Ayr United	3:3
13.09.25	Ayr United - Ross County	1:1
Scottish Cup
18.01.20	Ayr United - Ross County	1:0
Scottish Football Championship
19.04.19	Ayr United - Ross County	1:3
26.02.19	Ross County - Ayr United	3:2
15.12.18	Ayr United - Ross County	3:3

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