Match Info

Premiership - Relegation - Final

Date: 26 May 2025, Monday

Location: Global Energy Stadium (Dingwall)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Ross County		Livingston

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.1	2.75	Watch
	2.6	3.1	2.7
	2.6	3.1	2.75	Watch
	2.71	3.19	2.85
	2.67	3.17	2.78	Watch
	2.62	3	2.8
	2.79	3.14	2.66	Watch
	2.6	3.1	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.53)	3.11 ↓ (3.16)	2.76 ↓ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ross County
35.5%

Draw
30.3%

Livingston
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

29.8%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

31.2%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ross County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Livingston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ross County than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Livingston than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.7%	26.7%	46.7%

Ross County - Livingston Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Ross County will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Livingston will win (votes: 7 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Livingston: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Ross County (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Livingston (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Amissah J. (G) 4. Wright A. 35. Nightingale W. 19. Campbell E. 24. Efete M. 42. Kenneh N. 8. Randall C. 16. Harmon G. 23. Nisbet J. 26. White J. 9. Hale R.	28. Prior J. (G) 19. Finlayson D. 5. McGowan R. 27. Wilson D. 11. Fraser R. 8. Pittman S. 12. Brandon J. (C) 10. Kelly S. 15. Smith L. 23. Muirhead R. 26. Montano C.
Substitutes
15. Ashworth Z. 37. Coyle J. 11. Phillips K. 34. Robesten G. 31. Ross L. (G) 25. Samuel A. 30. Smith D. 12. Tomkinson J. 36. Williamson J.	2. Donnellan S. 14. Hamilton J. (G) 40. Lawal S. 17. May S. 6. McAlear R. 21. Nottingham M. 22. Shinnie A. 25. Tait M. 9. Yengi T.
Coaches
Cowie D.	Martindale D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Nisbet J. ⚽, Hale R. (A),
24', 2 - 0, Hale R. ⚽,
39', 2 - 1, Smith L. ⚽,
44', McGowan R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
54', Harmon G. ↓, Ashworth Z. ↑,
56', Nightingale W. 🟨,
57', 2 - 2, Wilson D. ⚽,
61', 2 - 3, Muirhead R. ⚽,
67', Efete M. ↓, Samuel A. ↑,
72', Montano C. ↓, Yengi T. ↑,
76', Finlayson D. 🟨,
77', Muirhead R. ↓, May S. ↑,
81', Nightingale W. ↓, Phillips K. ↑,
85', Kelly S. ↓, Tait M. ↑,
85', Smith L. ↓, Nottingham M. ↑,
90+6', 2 - 4, Yengi T. ⚽,
90+7', Yengi T. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg result: 1-1. 2nd leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ross County won 1.

Ross County is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Livingston is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Ross County: Allardice S. (Knee Injury) Chilvers N. (Knee Injury) Grieves J. (Inactive) Laidlaw R. (Inactive) Leak R. (Injury) MacLeod A. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Ross County: Lopata K. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ross County won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 21:32. (average 1.1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Ross County won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.6:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ross County
Scottish Premier League
22.05.25	Livingston - Ross County	1:1 ✺
18.05.25	Ross County - Motherwell	1:1 ✺
14.05.25	Dundee - Ross County	1:1 ✺
10.05.25	St. Johnstone - Ross County	2:1 ✺
03.05.25	Ross County - Hearts	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TTTLL
- Livingston FC
Scottish Premier League
22.05.25	Livingston - Ross County	1:1 ✺
16.05.25	Livingston - Partick Thistle	2:0 ✺
13.05.25	Partick Thistle - Livingston	0:2 ✺
Scottish Football Championship
02.05.25	Livingston - Partick Thistle	0:1 ✺
26.04.25	Hamilton Academical - Livingston	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Premier League
22.05.25	Livingston - Ross County	1:1
Scottish Cup
18.01.25	Ross County - Livingston	2:3 ET
Scottish Premier League
27.04.24	Livingston - Ross County	2:0
24.02.24	Ross County - Livingston	3:2
30.01.24	Livingston - Ross County	2:2
16.09.23	Ross County - Livingston	1:1
06.05.23	Ross County - Livingston	2:0

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