The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rostov 48.8%
Draw 27.2%
Arsenal Tula 24.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.2%
27.2%
21.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.1%
17.1%
34.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rostov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
Arsenal Tula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rostov than the current prediction. (-16.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rostov that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Tula than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arsenal Tula could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Rostov - Arsenal Tula Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL and 12).
Rostov has the most likely position - 12 (11.66%), has project points - 33, has currently - 9, has a chance of relegated (30%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Arsenal has the most likely position - 14 (13.47%), has project points - 32, has currently - 12, has a chance of relegated (38%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Rostov is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Arsenal is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Rostov could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Rostov have a series of guest games.
Rostov will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Rostov won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 19-13.
Including matches at home between the teams Rostov won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-5.
Watch
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