Match Info

Regionalliga Nordost - Round 17

Date: 28 November 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	MDR Fernsehen, Ostsport
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV


	Rot-Weiß Erfurt		Carl Zeiss Jena

	1	X	2
	2.68	3.55	2.3
	2.76	3.65	2.38
	2.81	3.51	2.24	Watch
	2.66	3.35	2.28
	2.75	3.33	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↓ (2.81)	3.48 ↓ (3.51)	2.32 ↑ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rot-Weiß Erfurt
33.7%

Draw
26.5%

Carl Zeiss Jena
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

26.2%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

25.2%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rot-Weiß Erfurt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Carl Zeiss Jena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rot-Weiß Erfurt than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carl Zeiss Jena than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Rot Weiß Erfurt - Carl Zeiss Jena Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Rot-Weiß Erfurt will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Carl Zeiss Jena will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Rot-Weiß Erfurt (votes: 1 - 25%). Carl Zeiss Jena (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Fehler S. ⚽,
36', 2 - 0, Ugondu O. C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 3 - 0, Hajrulla R. ⚽,
54', 3 - 1, Hoppe M. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 and 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rot-Weiß Erfurt won 1.

Rot-Weiß Erfurt has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Carl Zeiss Jena is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Carl Zeiss Jena is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Rot-Weiß Erfurt won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Rot-Weiß Erfurt won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rot-Weiß Erfurt
German Regionalliga Nordost
22.11.25	Hertha Zehlendorf - Rot-Weiß Erfurt	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Rot-Weiß Erfurt - Zwickau	2:2 ✺
01.11.25	Eilenburg - Rot-Weiß Erfurt	1:1 ✺
26.10.25	Rot-Weiß Erfurt - Meuselwitz	3:3 ✺
18.10.25	Babelsberg - Rot-Weiß Erfurt	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TTTTW
- Carl Zeiss Jena
German Regionalliga Nordost
21.11.25	Carl Zeiss Jena - Hallescher	1:1 ✺
07.11.25	Berliner FC Dynamo - Carl Zeiss Jena	2:3 ✺
31.10.25	Carl Zeiss Jena - Magdeburg II	2:1 ✺
25.10.25	Greifswald - Carl Zeiss Jena	3:3 ✺
17.10.25	Carl Zeiss Jena - Preussen	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Nordost
08.04.25	Rot-Weiß Erfurt - Carl Zeiss Jena	3:1
04.09.24	Carl Zeiss Jena - Rot-Weiß Erfurt	5:1
16.03.24	Carl Zeiss Jena - Rot-Weiß Erfurt	3:1
01.10.23	Rot-Weiß Erfurt - Carl Zeiss Jena	1:1
04.03.23	Carl Zeiss Jena - Rot-Weiß Erfurt	2:2
18.09.22	Rot-Weiß Erfurt - Carl Zeiss Jena	1:1
German 3 Bundesliga
25.02.18	Carl Zeiss Jena - Rot-Weiß Erfurt	1:0

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